Championship·Regular Season - 43·
Championship·Regular Season - 43·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.682.83safe0.19–2.120.82–2.531.01–4.66safer0.00–2.380.60–2.760.53–5.14
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.344.849.17safe2.47–6.203.09–6.585.57–12.78safer1.99–6.692.63–7.044.61–13.73
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9913.1626.15safe9.06–16.919.60–16.7218.66–33.63safer7.97–18.008.64–17.6816.61–35.68
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.239.1517.39safe5.29–11.186.47–11.8411.77–23.01safer4.46–12.015.74–12.5710.20–24.58
Blocked shots
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.434.057.48safe1.55–5.312.40–5.713.95–11.02safer1.00–5.861.91–6.202.91–12.06
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.965.4710.42safe2.74–7.173.47–7.476.21–14.64safer2.17–7.742.93–8.005.10–15.74
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.2054.27safe39.41–52.9947.48–61.05safer37.74–54.6645.81–62.72
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction422496918safe355–490429–562784–1052safer337–508412–580749–1087
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction71.8276.97safe67.79–75.8572.65–81.29safer66.50–77.1471.34–82.60
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0912.5322.62safe7.25–12.929.58–15.4716.83–28.40safer6.49–13.688.84–16.2215.33–29.90
Offsides
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.163.99safe0.68–3.001.06–3.251.74–6.25safer0.38–3.300.78–3.541.15–6.84
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.933.60safe0.62–2.720.80–3.061.42–5.78safer0.36–2.990.51–3.350.86–6.34
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.172.846.00safe1.73–4.601.28–4.393.01–9.00safer1.34–4.990.86–4.822.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.38 | 1.68 0.82–2.53 0.60–2.76 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.47–6.20 1.99–6.69 | 4.84 3.09–6.58 2.63–7.04 | 9.17 5.57–12.78 4.61–13.73 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.99 9.06–16.91 7.97–18.00 | 13.16 9.60–16.72 8.64–17.68 | 26.15 18.66–33.63 16.61–35.68 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.23 5.29–11.18 4.46–12.01 | 9.15 6.47–11.84 5.74–12.57 | 17.39 11.77–23.01 10.20–24.58 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.55–5.31 1.00–5.86 | 4.05 2.40–5.71 1.91–6.20 | 7.48 3.95–11.02 2.91–12.06 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.74–7.17 2.17–7.74 | 5.47 3.47–7.47 2.93–8.00 | 10.42 6.21–14.64 5.10–15.74 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 46.20 39.41–52.99 37.74–54.66 | 54.27 47.48–61.05 45.81–62.72 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 422 355–490 337–508 | 496 429–562 412–580 | 918 784–1052 749–1087 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.82 67.79–75.85 66.50–77.14 | 76.97 72.65–81.29 71.34–82.60 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 10.09 7.25–12.92 6.49–13.68 | 12.53 9.58–15.47 8.84–16.22 | 22.62 16.83–28.40 15.33–29.90 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 2.16 1.06–3.25 0.78–3.54 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.86–6.34 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 2.84 1.28–4.39 0.86–4.82 | 6.00 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.