Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.173.40safe1.26–3.200.31–2.021.58–5.22safer1.01–3.450.09–2.251.10–5.70
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.924.2210.14safe4.06–7.792.48–5.966.54–13.75safer3.57–8.282.01–6.435.58–14.70
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2413.1830.42safe13.32–21.179.62–16.7422.94–37.91safer12.23–22.268.66–17.7020.89–39.96
Shots in box
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction11.668.3520.01safe8.71–14.605.67–11.0314.38–25.63safer7.88–15.434.93–11.7712.82–27.20
Blocked shots
53%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.463.778.23safe2.58–6.352.12–5.424.70–11.77safer2.04–6.891.62–5.913.66–12.80
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.074.2810.36safe3.86–8.292.28–6.286.14–14.57safer3.29–8.861.75–6.825.03–15.68
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.4346.45safe46.64–60.2239.67–53.24safer44.97–61.8938.00–54.91
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction492414907safe425–559348–481773–1040safer407–578330–498737–1076
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction73.0374.74safe69.00–77.0670.42–79.06safer67.71–78.3569.11–80.37
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0511.2421.28safe7.21–12.888.29–14.1815.50–27.07safer6.45–13.647.54–14.9314.00–28.57
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.343.28safe0.78–3.100.24–2.431.03–5.53safer0.48–3.400.00–2.720.44–6.12
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.773.10safe0.27–2.370.65–2.900.92–5.27safer0.01–2.640.35–3.190.36–5.83
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.676.59safe1.49–4.362.11–5.223.60–9.58safer1.10–4.751.69–5.652.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.26–3.20 1.01–3.45 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 3.40 1.58–5.22 1.10–5.70 | 61% 20% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.92 4.06–7.79 3.57–8.28 | 4.22 2.48–5.96 2.01–6.43 | 10.14 6.54–13.75 5.58–14.70 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 17.24 13.32–21.17 12.23–22.26 | 13.18 9.62–16.74 8.66–17.70 | 30.42 22.94–37.91 20.89–39.96 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 11.66 8.71–14.60 7.88–15.43 | 8.35 5.67–11.03 4.93–11.77 | 20.01 14.38–25.63 12.82–27.20 | 74% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.46 2.58–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 3.77 2.12–5.42 1.62–5.91 | 8.23 4.70–11.77 3.66–12.80 | 53% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.86–8.29 3.29–8.86 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.75–6.82 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.03–15.68 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 53.43 46.64–60.22 44.97–61.89 | 46.45 39.67–53.24 38.00–54.91 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 492 425–559 407–578 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 907 773–1040 737–1076 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.03 69.00–77.06 67.71–78.35 | 74.74 70.42–79.06 69.11–80.37 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 10.05 7.21–12.88 6.45–13.64 | 11.24 8.29–14.18 7.54–14.93 | 21.28 15.50–27.07 14.00–28.57 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 1.77 0.65–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.10 0.92–5.27 0.36–5.83 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.79–10.40 | 31% 15% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+