Championship·Regular Season - 44·
Championship·Regular Season - 44·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.312.77safe0.50–2.430.45–2.160.95–4.59safer0.25–2.680.22–2.390.47–5.07
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.228.96safe2.87–6.602.48–5.975.35–12.56safer2.38–7.092.02–6.434.40–13.52
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6511.6325.28safe9.73–17.588.06–15.1917.79–32.76safer8.63–18.677.10–16.1515.74–34.82
Shots in box
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.938.4417.37safe5.99–11.875.76–11.1211.74–22.99safer5.16–12.705.02–11.8610.18–24.56
Blocked shots
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.365.82safe1.58–5.350.71–4.012.29–9.36safer1.04–5.890.21–4.501.25–10.39
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.6610.20safe3.32–7.752.66–6.665.98–14.41safer2.75–8.322.13–7.204.88–15.52
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction51.2148.14safe44.42–58.0041.35–54.92safer42.75–59.6739.68–56.59
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction432389822safe365–499323–456688–955safer347–517306–473652–991
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction66.5668.84safe62.53–70.5964.51–73.16safer61.23–71.8863.21–74.47
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6312.1523.78safe8.79–14.469.21–15.1018.00–29.56safer8.03–15.228.46–15.8516.49–31.07
Offsides
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.066.10safe0.88–3.202.97–5.163.85–8.36safer0.58–3.502.68–5.443.26–8.95
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.923.65safe0.68–2.780.79–3.051.47–5.83safer0.41–3.040.50–3.340.91–6.38
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.075.60safe1.09–3.971.51–4.622.60–8.59safer0.71–4.351.08–5.051.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.50–2.43 0.25–2.68 | 1.31 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.87–6.60 2.38–7.09 | 4.22 2.48–5.97 2.02–6.43 | 8.96 5.35–12.56 4.40–13.52 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.65 9.73–17.58 8.63–18.67 | 11.63 8.06–15.19 7.10–16.15 | 25.28 17.79–32.76 15.74–34.82 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.93 5.99–11.87 5.16–12.70 | 8.44 5.76–11.12 5.02–11.86 | 17.37 11.74–22.99 10.18–24.56 | 50% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.58–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 2.36 0.71–4.01 0.21–4.50 | 5.82 2.29–9.36 1.25–10.39 | 60% 15% 25% |
| Corners | 5.53 3.32–7.75 2.75–8.32 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.13–7.20 | 10.20 5.98–14.41 4.88–15.52 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 51.21 44.42–58.00 42.75–59.67 | 48.14 41.35–54.92 39.68–56.59 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 432 365–499 347–517 | 389 323–456 306–473 | 822 688–955 652–991 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.56 62.53–70.59 61.23–71.88 | 68.84 64.51–73.16 63.21–74.47 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 11.63 8.79–14.46 8.03–15.22 | 12.15 9.21–15.10 8.46–15.85 | 23.78 18.00–29.56 16.49–31.07 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 4.06 2.97–5.16 2.68–5.44 | 6.10 3.85–8.36 3.26–8.95 | 15% 73% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.91–6.38 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.97 0.71–4.35 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.05 | 5.60 2.60–8.59 1.79–9.40 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.