Championship·Regular Season - 44·
Championship·Regular Season - 44·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.232.73safe0.53–2.470.38–2.090.91–4.56safer0.28–2.720.15–2.320.43–5.04
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.088.74safe2.80–6.532.34–5.825.14–12.35safer2.31–7.021.87–6.294.18–13.30
Total shots
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5312.3125.84safe9.61–17.468.75–15.8718.35–33.33safer8.52–18.557.79–16.8316.30–35.38
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.538.4818.00safe6.59–12.475.80–11.1612.38–23.63safer5.76–13.305.06–11.9010.81–25.19
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.507.01safe1.63–5.391.84–5.153.47–10.54safer1.09–5.941.35–5.642.44–11.58
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.804.7910.60safe3.59–8.022.79–6.796.39–14.81safer3.02–8.592.26–7.335.28–15.92
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.3847.79safe44.59–58.1741.00–54.57safer42.92–59.8439.33–56.24
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction429383812safe362–497316–449678–946safer344–515299–467643–981
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction69.3171.76safe65.28–73.3467.44–76.09safer63.99–74.6366.13–77.40
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1810.6221.80safe8.34–14.027.68–13.5616.02–27.58safer7.59–14.776.93–14.3114.51–29.09
Offsides
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.884.20safe1.16–3.480.79–2.971.95–6.45safer0.86–3.780.50–3.261.36–7.04
Yellow cards
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.573.36safe0.74–2.830.45–2.701.18–5.54safer0.47–3.100.15–2.990.62–6.09
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.562.935.49safe1.12–4.001.38–4.492.50–8.48safer0.74–4.380.95–4.911.69–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.73 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 43% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.80–6.53 2.31–7.02 | 4.08 2.34–5.82 1.87–6.29 | 8.74 5.14–12.35 4.18–13.30 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.53 9.61–17.46 8.52–18.55 | 12.31 8.75–15.87 7.79–16.83 | 25.84 18.35–33.33 16.30–35.38 | 56% 37% |
| Shots in box | 9.53 6.59–12.47 5.76–13.30 | 8.48 5.80–11.16 5.06–11.90 | 18.00 12.38–23.63 10.81–25.19 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.09–5.94 | 3.50 1.84–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 7.01 3.47–10.54 2.44–11.58 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.80 3.59–8.02 3.02–8.59 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.33 | 10.60 6.39–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 51.38 44.59–58.17 42.92–59.84 | 47.79 41.00–54.57 39.33–56.24 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 429 362–497 344–515 | 383 316–449 299–467 | 812 678–946 643–981 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.31 65.28–73.34 63.99–74.63 | 71.76 67.44–76.09 66.13–77.40 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.18 8.34–14.02 7.59–14.77 | 10.62 7.68–13.56 6.93–14.31 | 21.80 16.02–27.58 14.51–29.09 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.78 | 1.88 0.79–2.97 0.50–3.26 | 4.20 1.95–6.45 1.36–7.04 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.57 0.45–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 3.36 1.18–5.54 0.62–6.09 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–4.00 0.74–4.38 | 2.93 1.38–4.49 0.95–4.91 | 5.49 2.50–8.48 1.69–9.30 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.