Championship·Regular Season - 44·
Championship·Regular Season - 44·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.043.05safe1.04–2.970.19–1.901.22–4.87safer0.79–3.220.00–2.120.74–5.35
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.843.629.46safe3.98–7.701.88–5.365.86–13.07safer3.49–8.191.41–5.834.90–14.02
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1210.8526.97safe12.20–20.057.29–14.4219.49–34.46safer11.10–21.146.33–15.3817.44–36.51
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.067.3618.42safe8.11–14.004.68–10.0412.79–24.04safer7.28–14.833.94–10.7811.23–25.61
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.573.037.60safe2.69–6.451.38–4.684.06–11.14safer2.14–6.990.89–5.183.03–12.17
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.373.7810.15safe4.16–8.581.78–5.785.94–14.36safer3.58–9.161.25–6.314.83–15.47
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.7141.00safe51.92–65.5034.22–47.79safer50.25–67.1732.55–49.46
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction581384965safe514–649317–450832–1099safer496–667300–468796–1135
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction75.4371.31safe71.40–79.4666.99–75.64safer70.11–80.7565.68–76.95
Fouls
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3410.9020.23safe6.50–12.187.95–13.8414.45–26.02safer5.74–12.937.20–14.5912.95–27.52
Offsides
59%
17%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.821.794.61safe1.66–3.980.69–2.882.35–6.86safer1.36–4.280.41–3.171.76–7.45
Yellow cards
29%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.723.01safe0.24–2.340.59–2.850.83–5.19safer0.00–2.600.30–3.140.27–5.74
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.896.29safe0.96–3.842.33–5.443.29–9.28safer0.58–4.221.91–5.872.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.04–2.97 0.79–3.22 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.12 | 3.05 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.84 3.98–7.70 3.49–8.19 | 3.62 1.88–5.36 1.41–5.83 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.12 12.20–20.05 11.10–21.14 | 10.85 7.29–14.42 6.33–15.38 | 26.97 19.49–34.46 17.44–36.51 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 11.06 8.11–14.00 7.28–14.83 | 7.36 4.68–10.04 3.94–10.78 | 18.42 12.79–24.04 11.23–25.61 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.14–6.99 | 3.03 1.38–4.68 0.89–5.18 | 7.60 4.06–11.14 3.03–12.17 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.37 4.16–8.58 3.58–9.16 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.25–6.31 | 10.15 5.94–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 58.71 51.92–65.50 50.25–67.17 | 41.00 34.22–47.79 32.55–49.46 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 581 514–649 496–667 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 965 832–1099 796–1135 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.43 71.40–79.46 70.11–80.75 | 71.31 66.99–75.64 65.68–76.95 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 9.34 6.50–12.18 5.74–12.93 | 10.90 7.95–13.84 7.20–14.59 | 20.23 14.45–26.02 12.95–27.52 | 32% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.82 1.66–3.98 1.36–4.28 | 1.79 0.69–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 4.61 2.35–6.86 1.76–7.45 | 59% 17% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.60 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.27–5.74 | 29% 24% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.84 0.58–4.22 | 3.89 2.33–5.44 1.91–5.87 | 6.29 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.