Championship·Regular Season - 44·
Championship·Regular Season - 44·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.172.95safe0.81–2.750.31–2.021.12–4.77safer0.56–3.000.08–2.250.64–5.25
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.319.72safe3.55–7.282.57–6.056.12–13.33safer3.06–7.772.10–6.525.16–14.28
Total shots
74%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5312.6229.15safe12.60–20.459.06–16.1921.66–36.64safer11.51–21.548.10–17.1419.61–38.69
Shots in box
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction11.328.6219.94safe8.38–14.275.93–11.3014.32–25.56safer7.55–15.105.20–12.0312.75–27.13
Blocked shots
47%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.288.80safe2.65–6.412.62–5.935.27–12.34safer2.10–6.952.13–6.424.23–13.38
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.044.4910.53safe3.83–8.252.49–6.496.32–14.74safer3.25–8.831.96–7.025.21–15.85
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction59.0140.99safe52.22–65.8034.21–47.78safer50.55–67.4732.54–49.45
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction520344864safe452–587278–411730–997safer434–605260–428694–1033
Pass accuracy %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction74.3070.69safe70.27–78.3366.36–75.01safer68.98–79.6265.05–76.32
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5512.5923.14safe7.71–13.399.65–15.5417.36–28.92safer6.95–14.148.90–16.2915.86–30.43
Offsides
61%
18%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.521.443.96safe1.36–3.680.35–2.541.71–6.21safer1.06–3.980.06–2.821.12–6.80
Yellow cards
26%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.153.59safe0.39–2.491.02–3.281.41–5.77safer0.13–2.760.73–3.570.86–6.33
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.346.27safe1.49–4.361.79–4.903.27–9.26safer1.10–4.751.36–5.322.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.75 0.56–3.00 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.95 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.41 3.55–7.28 3.06–7.77 | 4.31 2.57–6.05 2.10–6.52 | 9.72 6.12–13.33 5.16–14.28 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 16.53 12.60–20.45 11.51–21.54 | 12.62 9.06–16.19 8.10–17.14 | 29.15 21.66–36.64 19.61–38.69 | 74% 21% |
| Shots in box | 11.32 8.38–14.27 7.55–15.10 | 8.62 5.93–11.30 5.20–12.03 | 19.94 14.32–25.56 12.75–27.13 | 69% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.65–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 4.28 2.62–5.93 2.13–6.42 | 8.80 5.27–12.34 4.23–13.38 | 47% 14% 40% |
| Corners | 6.04 3.83–8.25 3.25–8.83 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.02 | 10.53 6.32–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 59.01 52.22–65.80 50.55–67.47 | 40.99 34.21–47.78 32.54–49.45 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 520 452–587 434–605 | 344 278–411 260–428 | 864 730–997 694–1033 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.30 70.27–78.33 68.98–79.62 | 70.69 66.36–75.01 65.05–76.32 | — | 66% 30% |
| Fouls | 10.55 7.71–13.39 6.95–14.14 | 12.59 9.65–15.54 8.90–16.29 | 23.14 17.36–28.92 15.86–30.43 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.52 1.36–3.68 1.06–3.98 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.82 | 3.96 1.71–6.21 1.12–6.80 | 61% 18% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 26% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.34 1.79–4.90 1.36–5.32 | 6.27 3.27–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+