Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.022.53safe0.55–2.480.16–1.870.71–4.36safer0.30–2.730.00–2.100.23–4.84
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.718.03safe2.46–6.181.97–5.464.43–11.64safer1.97–6.671.51–5.923.47–12.59
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9811.5524.53safe9.05–16.907.99–15.1217.04–32.02safer7.96–17.997.03–16.0814.99–34.07
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.427.6417.06safe6.48–12.374.96–10.3211.44–22.69safer5.65–13.194.22–11.069.87–24.25
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.487.58safe2.22–5.981.82–5.134.04–11.11safer1.68–6.531.33–5.623.01–12.15
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.5210.29safe3.56–7.982.52–6.526.08–14.50safer2.98–8.561.99–7.054.97–15.61
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.2941.71safe50.50–64.0834.92–48.49safer48.83–65.7533.25–50.16
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction507347854safe440–575280–413720–988safer422–593263–431685–1023
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction67.3366.81safe63.30–71.3662.49–71.14safer62.01–72.6561.18–72.45
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5111.8622.37safe7.67–13.348.92–14.8116.59–28.15safer6.91–14.108.17–15.5615.08–29.66
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.673.29safe0.45–2.770.58–2.771.03–5.54safer0.15–3.080.29–3.050.44–6.13
Yellow cards
28%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.652.87safe0.17–2.270.52–2.780.69–5.04safer0.00–2.530.23–3.070.13–5.60
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.885.37safe1.06–3.931.32–4.442.38–8.37safer0.67–4.320.90–4.861.57–9.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.48 0.30–2.73 | 1.02 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.53 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 49% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.18 1.97–6.67 | 3.71 1.97–5.46 1.51–5.92 | 8.03 4.43–11.64 3.47–12.59 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 12.98 9.05–16.90 7.96–17.99 | 11.55 7.99–15.12 7.03–16.08 | 24.53 17.04–32.02 14.99–34.07 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.42 6.48–12.37 5.65–13.19 | 7.64 4.96–10.32 4.22–11.06 | 17.06 11.44–22.69 9.87–24.25 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.68–6.53 | 3.48 1.82–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 7.58 4.04–11.11 3.01–12.15 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.98 2.98–8.56 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.99–7.05 | 10.29 6.08–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 57.29 50.50–64.08 48.83–65.75 | 41.71 34.92–48.49 33.25–50.16 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 507 440–575 422–593 | 347 280–413 263–431 | 854 720–988 685–1023 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.33 63.30–71.36 62.01–72.65 | 66.81 62.49–71.14 61.18–72.45 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.67–13.34 6.91–14.10 | 11.86 8.92–14.81 8.17–15.56 | 22.37 16.59–28.15 15.08–29.66 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.08 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.05 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.17–2.27 0.00–2.53 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 2.87 0.69–5.04 0.13–5.60 | 28% 24% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 5.37 2.38–8.37 1.57–9.18 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+