Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.800.992.80safe0.84–2.770.14–1.850.97–4.62safer0.58–3.020.00–2.080.49–5.10
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.013.608.62safe3.15–6.881.86–5.345.01–12.22safer2.66–7.371.39–5.814.06–13.18
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2411.2925.54safe10.32–18.177.73–14.8618.05–33.03safer9.23–19.266.77–15.8216.00–35.08
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.226.6015.83safe6.28–12.163.92–9.2810.20–21.45safer5.45–12.993.19–10.028.64–23.02
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.193.117.29safe2.30–6.071.45–4.763.76–10.83safer1.76–6.610.96–5.252.72–11.86
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.244.1110.36safe4.03–8.462.11–6.116.14–14.57safer3.46–9.031.58–6.655.04–15.68
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.8640.72safe53.07–66.6533.94–47.51safer51.40–68.3232.27–49.18
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction550351902safe483–618285–418768–1035safer465–636267–435732–1071
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction75.1769.38safe71.14–79.2065.05–73.70safer69.84–80.4963.74–75.01
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2713.4423.72safe7.44–13.1110.50–16.3917.93–29.50safer6.68–13.879.75–17.1316.43–31.00
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.433.01safe0.42–2.740.33–2.520.76–5.26safer0.12–3.040.05–2.810.17–5.85
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.183.60safe0.37–2.471.05–3.311.42–5.78safer0.11–2.740.76–3.600.87–6.34
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.135.63safe1.06–3.941.57–4.682.63–8.62safer0.68–4.321.14–5.111.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.84–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.80 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.01 3.15–6.88 2.66–7.37 | 3.60 1.86–5.34 1.39–5.81 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.24 10.32–18.17 9.23–19.26 | 11.29 7.73–14.86 6.77–15.82 | 25.54 18.05–33.03 16.00–35.08 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.28–12.16 5.45–12.99 | 6.60 3.92–9.28 3.19–10.02 | 15.83 10.20–21.45 8.64–23.02 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.30–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 3.11 1.45–4.76 0.96–5.25 | 7.29 3.76–10.83 2.72–11.86 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.03–8.46 3.46–9.03 | 4.11 2.11–6.11 1.58–6.65 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 59.86 53.07–66.65 51.40–68.32 | 40.72 33.94–47.51 32.27–49.18 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 550 483–618 465–636 | 351 285–418 267–435 | 902 768–1035 732–1071 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.17 71.14–79.20 69.84–80.49 | 69.38 65.05–73.70 63.74–75.01 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 10.27 7.44–13.11 6.68–13.87 | 13.44 10.50–16.39 9.75–17.13 | 23.72 17.93–29.50 16.43–31.00 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.01 0.76–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.94 0.68–4.32 | 3.13 1.57–4.68 1.14–5.11 | 5.63 2.63–8.62 1.82–9.43 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+