Championship·Regular Season - 44·
Championship·Regular Season - 44·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.212.79safe0.61–2.550.35–2.060.96–4.61safer0.36–2.800.12–2.290.48–5.09
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.063.638.68safe3.19–6.921.88–5.375.08–12.29safer2.70–7.411.42–5.834.12–13.24
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2211.2426.46safe11.29–19.147.68–14.8018.97–33.94safer10.20–20.236.72–15.7616.92–35.99
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.957.6017.55safe7.01–12.894.92–10.2811.93–23.17safer6.18–13.724.18–11.0210.36–24.74
Blocked shots
58%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.373.337.70safe2.49–6.261.68–4.984.17–11.24safer1.95–6.801.18–5.473.13–12.27
Corners
65%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.254.5210.76safe4.03–8.462.52–6.526.55–14.98safer3.46–9.031.98–7.055.44–16.08
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.7043.65safe49.91–63.4936.87–50.44safer48.24–65.1635.20–52.11
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction494363857safe427–562296–429723–991safer409–580279–447688–1026
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction66.3166.34safe62.28–70.3362.02–70.67safer60.98–71.6360.71–71.98
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7012.6922.40safe6.87–12.549.75–15.6416.61–28.18safer6.11–13.309.00–16.3915.11–29.68
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.311.403.71safe1.15–3.470.31–2.491.46–5.97safer0.85–3.780.02–2.780.87–6.56
Yellow cards
20%
20%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.202.233.43safe0.15–2.251.10–3.361.25–5.61safer0.00–2.520.81–3.650.69–6.17
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.285.59safe0.87–3.741.73–4.842.60–8.58safer0.48–4.131.30–5.261.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.79 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.19–6.92 2.70–7.41 | 3.63 1.88–5.37 1.42–5.83 | 8.68 5.08–12.29 4.12–13.24 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.22 11.29–19.14 10.20–20.23 | 11.24 7.68–14.80 6.72–15.76 | 26.46 18.97–33.94 16.92–35.99 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.01–12.89 6.18–13.72 | 7.60 4.92–10.28 4.18–11.02 | 17.55 11.93–23.17 10.36–24.74 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.37 2.49–6.26 1.95–6.80 | 3.33 1.68–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.27 | 58% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.03–8.46 3.46–9.03 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.98–7.05 | 10.76 6.55–14.98 5.44–16.08 | 65% 25% |
| Possession % | 56.70 49.91–63.49 48.24–65.16 | 43.65 36.87–50.44 35.20–52.11 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 494 427–562 409–580 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 857 723–991 688–1026 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.31 62.28–70.33 60.98–71.63 | 66.34 62.02–70.67 60.71–71.98 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 9.70 6.87–12.54 6.11–13.30 | 12.69 9.75–15.64 9.00–16.39 | 22.40 16.61–28.18 15.11–29.68 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 2.31 1.15–3.47 0.85–3.78 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.20 0.15–2.25 0.00–2.52 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.69–6.17 | 20% 20% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 3.28 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 5.59 2.60–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.