Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.323.01safe0.73–2.660.46–2.171.19–4.83safer0.47–2.910.23–2.400.71–5.31
Shots on target
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.304.559.85safe3.44–7.162.81–6.296.25–13.46safer2.95–7.652.34–6.765.29–14.41
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4112.8129.22safe12.49–20.349.24–16.3721.73–36.70safer11.40–21.438.28–17.3319.68–38.76
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.808.1117.91safe6.86–12.755.43–10.7912.29–23.54safer6.03–13.584.69–11.5310.72–25.10
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.572.947.51safe2.69–6.451.29–4.593.97–11.04safer2.14–6.990.80–5.092.94–12.08
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.644.329.96safe3.43–7.862.32–6.325.75–14.17safer2.86–8.431.78–6.854.64–15.28
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.2144.01safe49.42–63.0037.22–50.79safer47.75–64.6735.55–52.46
Passes
84%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction520398917safe452–587331–464784–1051safer434–605314–482748–1087
Pass accuracy %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction75.3572.55safe71.32–79.3868.23–76.88safer70.03–80.6766.92–78.19
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2211.6522.88safe8.38–14.068.71–14.6017.09–28.66safer7.63–14.827.96–15.3515.59–30.16
Offsides
21%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.684.26safe0.42–2.741.59–3.772.01–6.52safer0.12–3.051.30–4.061.42–7.11
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.003.83safe0.78–2.880.87–3.131.65–6.01safer0.51–3.150.58–3.421.10–6.57
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.526.18safe1.23–4.101.96–5.073.19–9.18safer0.84–4.491.54–5.502.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.73–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.30 3.44–7.16 2.95–7.65 | 4.55 2.81–6.29 2.34–6.76 | 9.85 6.25–13.46 5.29–14.41 | 53% 34% |
| Total shots | 16.41 12.49–20.34 11.40–21.43 | 12.81 9.24–16.37 8.28–17.33 | 29.22 21.73–36.70 19.68–38.76 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.80 6.86–12.75 6.03–13.58 | 8.11 5.43–10.79 4.69–11.53 | 17.91 12.29–23.54 10.72–25.10 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.14–6.99 | 2.94 1.29–4.59 0.80–5.09 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.94–12.08 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.86 2.86–8.43 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.78–6.85 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 56.21 49.42–63.00 47.75–64.67 | 44.01 37.22–50.79 35.55–52.46 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 520 452–587 434–605 | 398 331–464 314–482 | 917 784–1051 748–1087 | 84% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.35 71.32–79.38 70.03–80.67 | 72.55 68.23–76.88 66.92–78.19 | — | 62% 34% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.38–14.06 7.63–14.82 | 11.65 8.71–14.60 7.96–15.35 | 22.88 17.09–28.66 15.59–30.16 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.05 | 2.68 1.59–3.77 1.30–4.06 | 4.26 2.01–6.52 1.42–7.11 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.15 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 3.52 1.96–5.07 1.54–5.50 | 6.18 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.