Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.452.87safe0.46–2.390.59–2.301.05–4.69safer0.20–2.640.36–2.530.57–5.17
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.059.93safe3.01–6.743.31–6.796.32–13.53safer2.52–7.232.84–7.265.37–14.49
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9813.7527.73safe10.05–17.9010.19–17.3120.24–35.22safer8.96–19.009.23–18.2718.19–37.27
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction9.348.9018.24safe6.40–12.286.22–11.5812.62–23.86safer5.57–13.115.48–12.3211.05–25.43
Blocked shots
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.063.647.70safe2.18–5.951.99–5.294.17–11.24safer1.64–6.491.49–5.783.13–12.27
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.044.789.82safe2.82–7.252.78–6.785.60–14.03safer2.25–7.832.25–7.314.50–15.14
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction45.0555.81safe38.26–51.8449.02–62.59safer36.59–53.5147.35–64.26
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction411534945safe344–479467–600811–1079safer326–497450–618776–1114
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction69.9477.42safe65.91–73.9773.10–81.75safer64.62–75.2671.79–83.06
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction11.519.6021.11safe8.67–14.356.66–12.5515.33–26.89safer7.91–15.105.91–13.3013.83–28.40
Offsides
51%
19%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.531.964.49safe1.37–3.690.86–3.052.24–6.74safer1.07–3.990.58–3.341.65–7.33
Yellow cards
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.643.39safe0.70–2.800.51–2.771.21–5.57safer0.43–3.060.22–3.060.65–6.13
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.216.36safe1.71–4.581.65–4.773.37–9.35safer1.32–4.971.23–5.192.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.46–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.01–6.74 2.52–7.23 | 5.05 3.31–6.79 2.84–7.26 | 9.93 6.32–13.53 5.37–14.49 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.98 10.05–17.90 8.96–19.00 | 13.75 10.19–17.31 9.23–18.27 | 27.73 20.24–35.22 18.19–37.27 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 9.34 6.40–12.28 5.57–13.11 | 8.90 6.22–11.58 5.48–12.32 | 18.24 12.62–23.86 11.05–25.43 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 4.06 2.18–5.95 1.64–6.49 | 3.64 1.99–5.29 1.49–5.78 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.27 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.04 2.82–7.25 2.25–7.83 | 4.78 2.78–6.78 2.25–7.31 | 9.82 5.60–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 45.05 38.26–51.84 36.59–53.51 | 55.81 49.02–62.59 47.35–64.26 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 411 344–479 326–497 | 534 467–600 450–618 | 945 811–1079 776–1114 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.94 65.91–73.97 64.62–75.26 | 77.42 73.10–81.75 71.79–83.06 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 11.51 8.67–14.35 7.91–15.10 | 9.60 6.66–12.55 5.91–13.30 | 21.11 15.33–26.89 13.83–28.40 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 2.53 1.37–3.69 1.07–3.99 | 1.96 0.86–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 4.49 2.24–6.74 1.65–7.33 | 51% 19% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.43–3.06 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.65–6.13 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.71–4.58 1.32–4.97 | 3.21 1.65–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.