Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.612.90safe0.32–2.250.76–2.471.08–4.72safer0.07–2.500.53–2.700.60–5.20
Shots on target
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.305.179.46safe2.43–6.163.43–6.915.86–13.07safer1.94–6.652.96–7.384.90–14.03
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1313.0725.20safe8.21–16.069.50–16.6317.71–32.69safer7.12–17.158.54–17.5915.66–34.74
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.509.2517.75safe5.56–11.446.57–11.9312.13–23.38safer4.73–12.275.84–12.6710.56–24.94
Blocked shots
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.112.896.00safe1.23–5.001.23–4.542.46–9.53safer0.69–5.540.74–5.031.43–10.57
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.835.069.89safe2.62–7.043.06–7.065.68–14.10safer2.04–7.622.53–7.594.57–15.21
Possession %
15%
83%
homeawayprediction41.6358.48safe34.84–48.4251.69–65.26safer33.17–50.0950.02–66.93
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction381541922safe314–448474–607788–1055safer296–467457–625752–1091
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction65.9575.75safe61.92–69.9871.42–80.07safer60.63–71.2770.11–81.38
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5510.6022.16safe8.72–14.397.66–13.5516.38–27.94safer7.96–15.156.91–14.3014.87–29.44
Offsides
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.736.30safe1.41–3.732.63–4.824.05–8.55safer1.11–4.032.35–5.113.46–9.14
Yellow cards
37%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.502.97safe0.43–2.530.37–2.620.80–5.15safer0.16–2.790.07–2.920.24–5.71
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.876.06safe1.76–4.631.31–4.433.07–9.06safer1.37–5.020.89–4.852.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.25 0.07–2.50 | 1.61 0.76–2.47 0.53–2.70 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 30% 24% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.30 2.43–6.16 1.94–6.65 | 5.17 3.43–6.91 2.96–7.38 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.03 | 33% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.13 8.21–16.06 7.12–17.15 | 13.07 9.50–16.63 8.54–17.59 | 25.20 17.71–32.69 15.66–34.74 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.56–11.44 4.73–12.27 | 9.25 6.57–11.93 5.84–12.67 | 17.75 12.13–23.38 10.56–24.94 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–5.00 0.69–5.54 | 2.89 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 6.00 2.46–9.53 1.43–10.57 | 45% 17% 38% |
| Corners | 4.83 2.62–7.04 2.04–7.62 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.59 | 9.89 5.68–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 41.63 34.84–48.42 33.17–50.09 | 58.48 51.69–65.26 50.02–66.93 | — | 15% 83% |
| Passes | 381 314–448 296–467 | 541 474–607 457–625 | 922 788–1055 752–1091 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.95 61.92–69.98 60.63–71.27 | 75.75 71.42–80.07 70.11–81.38 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.72–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 10.60 7.66–13.55 6.91–14.30 | 22.16 16.38–27.94 14.87–29.44 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.57 1.41–3.73 1.11–4.03 | 3.73 2.63–4.82 2.35–5.11 | 6.30 4.05–8.55 3.46–9.14 | 25% 15% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 1.50 0.37–2.62 0.07–2.92 | 2.97 0.80–5.15 0.24–5.71 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.76–4.63 1.37–5.02 | 2.87 1.31–4.43 0.89–4.85 | 6.06 3.07–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.