Championship·Regular Season - 45·
Championship·Regular Season - 45·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.202.64safe0.46–2.400.35–2.060.81–4.46safer0.21–2.650.12–2.290.33–4.94
Shots on target
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.683.728.40safe2.82–6.541.98–5.474.80–12.01safer2.33–7.031.52–5.933.84–12.96
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8710.5925.46safe10.95–18.807.03–14.1517.98–32.95safer9.86–19.896.07–15.1115.93–35.00
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.267.6116.87safe6.32–12.204.93–10.2911.25–22.49safer5.49–13.034.19–11.039.68–24.06
Blocked shots
63%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.202.796.99safe2.31–6.081.14–4.443.45–10.52safer1.77–6.620.65–4.942.42–11.56
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.994.5910.58safe3.77–8.202.59–6.596.37–14.79safer3.20–8.772.06–7.135.26–15.90
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.4146.59safe46.62–60.2039.80–53.37safer44.95–61.8738.13–55.04
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction474398872safe406–541332–465738–1006safer388–559315–482703–1042
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction66.9368.78safe62.91–70.9664.45–73.10safer61.61–72.2663.14–74.41
Fouls
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4813.0522.53safe6.64–12.3110.11–16.0016.75–28.31safer5.88–13.079.36–16.7415.24–29.82
Offsides
43%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.613.44safe0.67–2.990.52–2.701.19–5.70safer0.37–3.300.23–2.990.60–6.29
Yellow cards
23%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.093.35safe0.21–2.310.97–3.221.18–5.53safer0.00–2.570.67–3.510.62–6.09
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.235.47safe0.81–3.681.68–4.792.48–8.47safer0.42–4.071.25–5.211.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.64 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.82–6.54 2.33–7.03 | 3.72 1.98–5.47 1.52–5.93 | 8.40 4.80–12.01 3.84–12.96 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.87 10.95–18.80 9.86–19.89 | 10.59 7.03–14.15 6.07–15.11 | 25.46 17.98–32.95 15.93–35.00 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.26 6.32–12.20 5.49–13.03 | 7.61 4.93–10.29 4.19–11.03 | 16.87 11.25–22.49 9.68–24.06 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.31–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 2.79 1.14–4.44 0.65–4.94 | 6.99 3.45–10.52 2.42–11.56 | 63% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.77–8.20 3.20–8.77 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.06–7.13 | 10.58 6.37–14.79 5.26–15.90 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.41 46.62–60.20 44.95–61.87 | 46.59 39.80–53.37 38.13–55.04 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 474 406–541 388–559 | 398 332–465 315–482 | 872 738–1006 703–1042 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.93 62.91–70.96 61.61–72.26 | 68.78 64.45–73.10 63.14–74.41 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 9.48 6.64–12.31 5.88–13.07 | 13.05 10.11–16.00 9.36–16.74 | 22.53 16.75–28.31 15.24–29.82 | 19% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.30 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.44 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 43% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.57 | 2.09 0.97–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.35 1.18–5.53 0.62–6.09 | 23% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 5.47 2.48–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.