Championship·Regular Season - 45·
Championship·Regular Season - 45·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.783.23safe0.48–2.420.92–2.631.41–5.05safer0.23–2.670.69–2.860.93–5.53
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.685.199.87safe2.81–6.543.45–6.946.27–13.48safer2.32–7.032.99–7.405.31–14.43
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9513.9127.86safe10.02–17.8710.35–17.4820.37–35.35safer8.93–18.969.39–18.4318.32–37.40
Shots in box
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.429.8519.26safe6.48–12.367.16–12.5313.64–24.89safer5.65–13.196.43–13.2612.07–26.45
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.737.71safe2.09–5.862.08–5.394.17–11.24safer1.55–6.401.59–5.883.14–12.28
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.965.0610.02safe2.75–7.173.06–7.065.80–14.23safer2.17–7.752.52–7.594.70–15.34
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.9555.25safe38.16–51.7448.47–62.04safer36.49–53.4146.80–63.71
Passes
22%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction431522953safe364–498455–588819–1087safer346–517438–606784–1122
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction69.9276.75safe65.89–73.9572.43–81.07safer64.59–75.2471.12–82.38
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.739.9220.66safe7.90–13.576.98–12.8714.87–26.44safer7.14–14.336.23–13.6113.37–27.94
Offsides
22%
18%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.674.27safe0.44–2.771.57–3.762.02–6.53safer0.14–3.071.29–4.051.43–7.11
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.673.52safe0.80–2.900.54–2.801.34–5.70safer0.54–3.170.25–3.090.78–6.26
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.070.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.250.00–0.53safer0.00–0.430.00–0.390.00–0.82
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.146.46safe1.88–4.761.58–4.703.47–9.45safer1.50–5.141.16–5.122.66–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.78 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 3.23 1.41–5.05 0.93–5.53 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.81–6.54 2.32–7.03 | 5.19 3.45–6.94 2.99–7.40 | 9.87 6.27–13.48 5.31–14.43 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.95 10.02–17.87 8.93–18.96 | 13.91 10.35–17.48 9.39–18.43 | 27.86 20.37–35.35 18.32–37.40 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.42 6.48–12.36 5.65–13.19 | 9.85 7.16–12.53 6.43–13.26 | 19.26 13.64–24.89 12.07–26.45 | 42% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 3.73 2.08–5.39 1.59–5.88 | 7.71 4.17–11.24 3.14–12.28 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.75–7.17 2.17–7.75 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.52–7.59 | 10.02 5.80–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 44.95 38.16–51.74 36.49–53.41 | 55.25 48.47–62.04 46.80–63.71 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–517 | 522 455–588 438–606 | 953 819–1087 784–1122 | 22% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.92 65.89–73.95 64.59–75.24 | 76.75 72.43–81.07 71.12–82.38 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 10.73 7.90–13.57 7.14–14.33 | 9.92 6.98–12.87 6.23–13.61 | 20.66 14.87–26.44 13.37–27.94 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.77 0.14–3.07 | 2.67 1.57–3.76 1.29–4.05 | 4.27 2.02–6.53 1.43–7.11 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.26 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.76 1.50–5.14 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.66–10.26 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.