Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.402.85safe0.48–2.420.55–2.261.03–4.68safer0.23–2.670.32–2.490.55–5.16
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.274.138.40safe2.41–6.142.39–5.874.80–12.01safer1.92–6.631.92–6.343.84–12.96
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9412.7925.73safe9.02–16.879.23–16.3618.25–33.22safer7.92–17.968.27–17.3216.20–35.27
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.148.8316.97safe5.20–11.086.15–11.5111.34–22.59safer4.37–11.915.41–12.259.78–24.16
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.487.16safe1.79–5.561.83–5.133.62–10.69safer1.25–6.101.34–5.632.59–11.73
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.284.659.93safe3.07–7.502.65–6.655.72–14.14safer2.49–8.072.12–7.184.61–15.25
Possession %
44%
52%
homeawayprediction49.2950.94safe42.50–56.0844.16–57.73safer40.83–57.7542.49–59.40
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction450455905safe383–517389–521771–1038safer364–535371–539735–1074
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction72.6476.69safe68.61–76.6772.36–81.01safer67.31–77.9671.05–82.32
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8612.0625.91safe11.02–16.699.11–15.0020.13–31.70safer10.26–17.458.36–15.7518.63–33.20
Offsides
29%
18%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.624.59safe0.81–3.141.52–3.712.34–6.84safer0.51–3.441.23–4.001.75–7.43
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.184.30safe1.07–3.171.05–3.302.12–6.48safer0.81–3.440.75–3.601.56–7.03
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.005.83safe1.40–4.271.45–4.562.84–8.83safer1.01–4.661.02–4.982.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.85 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.14 1.92–6.63 | 4.13 2.39–5.87 1.92–6.34 | 8.40 4.80–12.01 3.84–12.96 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.94 9.02–16.87 7.92–17.96 | 12.79 9.23–16.36 8.27–17.32 | 25.73 18.25–33.22 16.20–35.27 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.14 5.20–11.08 4.37–11.91 | 8.83 6.15–11.51 5.41–12.25 | 16.97 11.34–22.59 9.78–24.16 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.79–5.56 1.25–6.10 | 3.48 1.83–5.13 1.34–5.63 | 7.16 3.62–10.69 2.59–11.73 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.50 2.49–8.07 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.12–7.18 | 9.93 5.72–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 49.29 42.50–56.08 40.83–57.75 | 50.94 44.16–57.73 42.49–59.40 | — | 44% 52% |
| Passes | 450 383–517 364–535 | 455 389–521 371–539 | 905 771–1038 735–1074 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.64 68.61–76.67 67.31–77.96 | 76.69 72.36–81.01 71.05–82.32 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 13.86 11.02–16.69 10.26–17.45 | 12.06 9.11–15.00 8.36–15.75 | 25.91 20.13–31.70 18.63–33.20 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.14 0.51–3.44 | 2.62 1.52–3.71 1.23–4.00 | 4.59 2.34–6.84 1.75–7.43 | 29% 18% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.81–3.44 | 2.18 1.05–3.30 0.75–3.60 | 4.30 2.12–6.48 1.56–7.03 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 3.00 1.45–4.56 1.02–4.98 | 5.83 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.