Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
28%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.302.38safe0.12–2.050.44–2.150.56–4.20safer0.00–2.300.21–2.380.08–4.68
Shots on target
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.997.72safe1.87–5.592.24–5.734.11–11.32safer1.38–6.081.78–6.193.16–12.28
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2012.0824.27safe8.27–16.128.52–15.6416.79–31.76safer7.18–17.217.56–16.6014.74–33.81
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.578.1815.75safe4.63–10.515.50–10.8710.13–21.38safer3.80–11.344.77–11.608.56–22.94
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.597.21safe1.74–5.501.94–5.243.67–10.74safer1.19–6.041.44–5.732.64–11.78
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.745.039.77safe2.53–6.963.03–7.035.56–13.99safer1.96–7.532.50–7.564.45–15.09
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.7457.47safe35.95–49.5350.68–64.25safer34.28–51.2049.01–65.93
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction368492861safe301–435426–559727–994safer283–454408–576691–1030
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction64.5472.39safe60.51–68.5768.06–76.71safer59.22–69.8666.75–78.02
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7210.5121.24safe7.89–13.567.57–13.4615.46–27.02safer7.13–14.326.82–14.2113.95–28.52
Offsides
43%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.443.09safe0.49–2.810.35–2.530.84–5.34safer0.19–3.110.06–2.820.25–5.93
Yellow cards
41%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.513.17safe0.61–2.710.38–2.640.99–5.35safer0.34–2.970.09–2.930.43–5.90
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.502.414.91safe1.07–3.940.85–3.961.92–7.90safer0.68–4.330.43–4.391.10–8.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 1.30 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.38 0.56–4.20 0.08–4.68 | 31% 28% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.73 1.87–5.59 1.38–6.08 | 3.99 2.24–5.73 1.78–6.19 | 7.72 4.11–11.32 3.16–12.28 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.20 8.27–16.12 7.18–17.21 | 12.08 8.52–15.64 7.56–16.60 | 24.27 16.79–31.76 14.74–33.81 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 7.57 4.63–10.51 3.80–11.34 | 8.18 5.50–10.87 4.77–11.60 | 15.75 10.13–21.38 8.56–22.94 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 3.59 1.94–5.24 1.44–5.73 | 7.21 3.67–10.74 2.64–11.78 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.53–6.96 1.96–7.53 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.56 | 9.77 5.56–13.99 4.45–15.09 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 42.74 35.95–49.53 34.28–51.20 | 57.47 50.68–64.25 49.01–65.93 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 368 301–435 283–454 | 492 426–559 408–576 | 861 727–994 691–1030 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.54 60.51–68.57 59.22–69.86 | 72.39 68.06–76.71 66.75–78.02 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.89–13.56 7.13–14.32 | 10.51 7.57–13.46 6.82–14.21 | 21.24 15.46–27.02 13.95–28.52 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 43% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 1.51 0.38–2.64 0.09–2.93 | 3.17 0.99–5.35 0.43–5.90 | 41% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 2.41 0.85–3.96 0.43–4.39 | 4.91 1.92–7.90 1.10–8.71 | 42% 19% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+