Championship·Regular Season - 45·
Championship·Regular Season - 45·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.373.45safe1.11–3.050.52–2.231.63–5.27safer0.86–3.300.29–2.461.15–5.75
Shots on target
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.804.4410.24safe3.94–7.662.70–6.186.63–13.84safer3.45–8.152.23–6.655.68–14.80
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9111.4428.35safe12.98–20.837.88–15.0020.86–35.84safer11.89–21.926.92–15.9618.81–37.89
Shots in box
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction11.558.0119.56safe8.61–14.505.33–10.6913.94–25.18safer7.78–15.334.59–11.4312.37–26.75
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.263.268.52safe3.37–7.141.61–4.914.98–12.05safer2.83–7.681.11–5.403.95–13.09
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.374.1310.50safe4.16–8.582.13–6.136.29–14.72safer3.58–9.161.60–6.665.18–15.82
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.0743.25safe49.28–62.8636.47–50.04safer47.61–64.5334.80–51.71
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction536399935safe468–603332–465801–1068safer450–621315–483765–1104
Pass accuracy %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction76.4472.82safe72.42–80.4768.49–77.14safer71.12–81.7767.19–78.45
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8911.3121.21safe7.06–12.738.37–14.2615.42–26.99safer6.30–13.497.62–15.0113.92–28.49
Offsides
41%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.793.65safe0.70–3.020.70–2.881.40–5.91safer0.40–3.320.41–3.170.81–6.50
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.763.09safe0.27–2.370.64–2.890.91–5.26safer0.01–2.640.34–3.180.35–5.82
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.666.34safe1.24–4.122.11–5.223.35–9.34safer0.86–4.501.68–5.642.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.08 1.11–3.05 0.86–3.30 | 1.37 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.46 | 3.45 1.63–5.27 1.15–5.75 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.80 3.94–7.66 3.45–8.15 | 4.44 2.70–6.18 2.23–6.65 | 10.24 6.63–13.84 5.68–14.80 | 61% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.91 12.98–20.83 11.89–21.92 | 11.44 7.88–15.00 6.92–15.96 | 28.35 20.86–35.84 18.81–37.89 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.55 8.61–14.50 7.78–15.33 | 8.01 5.33–10.69 4.59–11.43 | 19.56 13.94–25.18 12.37–26.75 | 76% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 5.26 3.37–7.14 2.83–7.68 | 3.26 1.61–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 8.52 4.98–12.05 3.95–13.09 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 6.37 4.16–8.58 3.58–9.16 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.66 | 10.50 6.29–14.72 5.18–15.82 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 56.07 49.28–62.86 47.61–64.53 | 43.25 36.47–50.04 34.80–51.71 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 536 468–603 450–621 | 399 332–465 315–483 | 935 801–1068 765–1104 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.44 72.42–80.47 71.12–81.77 | 72.82 68.49–77.14 67.19–78.45 | — | 66% 30% |
| Fouls | 9.89 7.06–12.73 6.30–13.49 | 11.31 8.37–14.26 7.62–15.01 | 21.21 15.42–26.99 13.92–28.49 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.65 1.40–5.91 0.81–6.50 | 41% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 1.76 0.64–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.09 0.91–5.26 0.35–5.82 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.24–4.12 0.86–4.50 | 3.66 2.11–5.22 1.68–5.64 | 6.34 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+