Championship·Regular Season - 45·
Championship·Regular Season - 45·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.322.84safe0.55–2.490.46–2.171.02–4.66safer0.30–2.740.24–2.400.54–5.14
Shots on target
57%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.753.708.45safe2.89–6.611.95–5.444.84–12.05safer2.40–7.101.49–5.913.89–13.01
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8911.8226.71safe10.97–18.828.26–15.3819.23–34.20safer9.88–19.917.30–16.3417.18–36.25
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.387.7217.10safe6.44–12.325.04–10.4011.48–22.73safer5.61–13.154.30–11.149.91–24.29
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.283.788.06safe2.40–6.162.12–5.434.52–11.59safer1.85–6.711.63–5.923.49–12.63
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.094.4810.57safe3.88–8.302.48–6.486.36–14.78safer3.30–8.881.94–7.015.25–15.89
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.4043.97safe48.61–62.1937.18–50.75safer46.94–63.8635.51–52.42
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction462338800safe395–529272–405667–934safer377–547255–422631–970
Pass accuracy %
47%
47%
homeawayprediction68.9268.92safe64.89–72.9564.60–73.24safer63.59–74.2463.29–74.55
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1311.4621.59safe7.29–12.978.51–14.4015.81–27.37safer6.54–13.727.77–15.1514.30–28.88
Offsides
51%
20%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.734.06safe1.16–3.480.64–2.831.80–6.31safer0.86–3.790.35–3.111.21–6.90
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.963.44safe0.43–2.530.83–3.091.26–5.62safer0.16–2.790.54–3.380.71–6.18
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
31%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.015.42safe0.97–3.841.45–4.562.42–8.41safer0.58–4.231.03–4.991.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.24–2.40 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.75 2.89–6.61 2.40–7.10 | 3.70 1.95–5.44 1.49–5.91 | 8.45 4.84–12.05 3.89–13.01 | 57% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.89 10.97–18.82 9.88–19.91 | 11.82 8.26–15.38 7.30–16.34 | 26.71 19.23–34.20 17.18–36.25 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.38 6.44–12.32 5.61–13.15 | 7.72 5.04–10.40 4.30–11.14 | 17.10 11.48–22.73 9.91–24.29 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.16 1.85–6.71 | 3.78 2.12–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 8.06 4.52–11.59 3.49–12.63 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 6.09 3.88–8.30 3.30–8.88 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.94–7.01 | 10.57 6.36–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 55.40 48.61–62.19 46.94–63.86 | 43.97 37.18–50.75 35.51–52.42 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 462 395–529 377–547 | 338 272–405 255–422 | 800 667–934 631–970 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.92 64.89–72.95 63.59–74.24 | 68.92 64.60–73.24 63.29–74.55 | — | 47% 47% |
| Fouls | 10.13 7.29–12.97 6.54–13.72 | 11.46 8.51–14.40 7.77–15.15 | 21.59 15.81–27.37 14.30–28.88 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.79 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.11 | 4.06 1.80–6.31 1.21–6.90 | 51% 20% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.97–3.84 0.58–4.23 | 3.01 1.45–4.56 1.03–4.99 | 5.42 2.42–8.41 1.61–9.22 | 31% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+