Championship·Regular Season - 45·
Championship·Regular Season - 45·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.352.57safe0.25–2.190.49–2.200.75–4.39safer0.00–2.440.27–2.430.27–4.87
Shots on target
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.764.187.93safe1.89–5.622.43–5.924.33–11.54safer1.40–6.111.97–6.383.37–12.49
Total shots
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8713.5525.42safe7.95–15.809.98–17.1117.93–32.91safer6.86–16.899.02–18.0715.88–34.96
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.948.8116.75safe5.00–10.896.13–11.4911.13–22.37safer4.17–11.715.39–12.239.56–23.94
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.977.75safe1.91–5.672.31–5.624.22–11.29safer1.36–6.211.82–6.113.18–12.33
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.355.0910.44safe3.13–7.563.09–7.096.23–14.65safer2.56–8.132.56–7.635.12–15.76
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction52.9546.88safe46.16–59.7440.09–53.66safer44.49–61.4138.42–55.33
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction437361798safe369–504295–428664–931safer351–522277–445628–967
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction64.6866.53safe60.65–68.7162.20–70.85safer59.36–70.0060.89–72.16
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1513.1824.33safe8.31–13.9910.24–16.1318.55–30.11safer7.56–14.749.49–16.8717.04–31.62
Offsides
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.234.03safe0.64–2.961.14–3.331.78–6.28safer0.34–3.260.85–3.611.19–6.87
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.783.58safe0.75–2.850.65–2.911.40–5.75safer0.48–3.110.36–3.200.84–6.31
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.632.605.22safe1.19–4.061.04–4.152.23–8.21safer0.80–4.450.61–4.581.42–9.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.27–2.43 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 34% 27% 40% |
| Shots on target | 3.76 1.89–5.62 1.40–6.11 | 4.18 2.43–5.92 1.97–6.38 | 7.93 4.33–11.54 3.37–12.49 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 11.87 7.95–15.80 6.86–16.89 | 13.55 9.98–17.11 9.02–18.07 | 25.42 17.93–32.91 15.88–34.96 | 33% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.94 5.00–10.89 4.17–11.71 | 8.81 6.13–11.49 5.39–12.23 | 16.75 11.13–22.37 9.56–23.94 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 3.97 2.31–5.62 1.82–6.11 | 7.75 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.33 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.56–7.63 | 10.44 6.23–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 52.95 46.16–59.74 44.49–61.41 | 46.88 40.09–53.66 38.42–55.33 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 437 369–504 351–522 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 798 664–931 628–967 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.68 60.65–68.71 59.36–70.00 | 66.53 62.20–70.85 60.89–72.16 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 11.15 8.31–13.99 7.56–14.74 | 13.18 10.24–16.13 9.49–16.87 | 24.33 18.55–30.11 17.04–31.62 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 2.23 1.14–3.33 0.85–3.61 | 4.03 1.78–6.28 1.19–6.87 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.58 1.40–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 2.60 1.04–4.15 0.61–4.58 | 5.22 2.23–8.21 1.42–9.03 | 42% 18% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+