Championship·Regular Season - 45·
Championship·Regular Season - 45·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.750.912.66safe0.78–2.720.06–1.760.84–4.48safer0.53–2.970.00–1.990.36–4.96
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.183.388.56safe3.32–7.041.64–5.124.95–12.16safer2.83–7.531.17–5.594.00–13.12
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.859.7325.58safe11.92–19.776.17–13.2918.09–33.07safer10.83–20.865.21–14.2516.04–35.12
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.876.2917.16safe7.92–13.813.61–8.9711.53–22.78safer7.10–14.642.87–9.719.97–24.35
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.472.476.94safe2.58–6.350.82–4.133.40–10.48safer2.04–6.890.33–4.622.37–11.51
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.293.629.91safe4.08–8.511.62–5.625.70–14.12safer3.51–9.081.08–6.154.59–15.23
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.3340.47safe52.54–66.1233.68–47.25safer50.87–67.7932.01–48.92
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction524320844safe457–592254–386711–978safer439–610236–404675–1014
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction72.0466.33safe68.01–76.0662.01–70.66safer66.71–77.3660.70–71.97
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2612.0423.29safe8.42–14.099.09–14.9817.51–29.07safer7.66–14.858.34–15.7316.00–30.58
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.683.27safe0.43–2.750.59–2.771.02–5.52safer0.13–3.050.30–3.060.43–6.11
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.123.55safe0.38–2.480.99–3.251.37–5.73safer0.11–2.740.70–3.540.81–6.29
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.80
GK saves
23%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.485.75safe0.83–3.711.92–5.042.76–8.74safer0.45–4.091.50–5.461.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 0.91 0.06–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 57% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.18 3.32–7.04 2.83–7.53 | 3.38 1.64–5.12 1.17–5.59 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.85 11.92–19.77 10.83–20.86 | 9.73 6.17–13.29 5.21–14.25 | 25.58 18.09–33.07 16.04–35.12 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.87 7.92–13.81 7.10–14.64 | 6.29 3.61–8.97 2.87–9.71 | 17.16 11.53–22.78 9.97–24.35 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.58–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 2.47 0.82–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 6.94 3.40–10.48 2.37–11.51 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.29 4.08–8.51 3.51–9.08 | 3.62 1.62–5.62 1.08–6.15 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 59.33 52.54–66.12 50.87–67.79 | 40.47 33.68–47.25 32.01–48.92 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 524 457–592 439–610 | 320 254–386 236–404 | 844 711–978 675–1014 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.04 68.01–76.06 66.71–77.36 | 66.33 62.01–70.66 60.70–71.97 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 11.26 8.42–14.09 7.66–14.85 | 12.04 9.09–14.98 8.34–15.73 | 23.29 17.51–29.07 16.00–30.58 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.27 1.02–5.52 0.43–6.11 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.55 1.37–5.73 0.81–6.29 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.71 0.45–4.09 | 3.48 1.92–5.04 1.50–5.46 | 5.75 2.76–8.74 1.95–9.56 | 23% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.