Championship·Regular Season - 45·
Championship·Regular Season - 45·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.452.99safe0.57–2.500.60–2.311.16–4.81safer0.32–2.750.37–2.530.68–5.29
Shots on target
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.9710.02safe3.19–6.923.23–6.716.42–13.63safer2.70–7.412.76–7.185.46–14.58
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6914.0228.71safe10.76–18.6110.46–17.5921.22–36.20safer9.67–19.709.50–18.5419.17–38.25
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.019.3019.31safe7.07–12.956.62–11.9813.69–24.93safer6.24–13.785.88–12.7212.12–26.50
Blocked shots
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.948.33safe2.50–6.272.29–5.594.79–11.86safer1.96–6.811.80–6.093.76–12.90
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.335.0910.42safe3.12–7.543.09–7.096.20–14.63safer2.54–8.122.55–7.625.09–15.74
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.0346.53safe47.24–60.8239.74–53.31safer45.57–62.4938.07–54.98
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction444369812safe377–511302–435679–946safer358–529285–452643–982
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction68.9670.07safe64.94–72.9965.74–74.39safer63.64–74.2964.43–75.70
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9811.8222.80safe8.14–13.828.87–14.7617.01–28.58safer7.39–14.578.12–15.5115.51–30.08
Offsides
41%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.112.034.14safe0.95–3.270.94–3.121.89–6.39safer0.65–3.570.65–3.411.30–6.98
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.013.86safe0.80–2.900.88–3.141.68–6.04safer0.53–3.170.59–3.431.12–6.60
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.263.316.57safe1.82–4.701.76–4.873.58–9.57safer1.44–5.081.33–5.302.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.50 0.32–2.75 | 1.45 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.53 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.19–6.92 2.70–7.41 | 4.97 3.23–6.71 2.76–7.18 | 10.02 6.42–13.63 5.46–14.58 | 45% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.69 10.76–18.61 9.67–19.70 | 14.02 10.46–17.59 9.50–18.54 | 28.71 21.22–36.20 19.17–38.25 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 10.01 7.07–12.95 6.24–13.78 | 9.30 6.62–11.98 5.88–12.72 | 19.31 13.69–24.93 12.12–26.50 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.50–6.27 1.96–6.81 | 3.94 2.29–5.59 1.80–6.09 | 8.33 4.79–11.86 3.76–12.90 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.33 3.12–7.54 2.54–8.12 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.55–7.62 | 10.42 6.20–14.63 5.09–15.74 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 54.03 47.24–60.82 45.57–62.49 | 46.53 39.74–53.31 38.07–54.98 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 358–529 | 369 302–435 285–452 | 812 679–946 643–982 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.96 64.94–72.99 63.64–74.29 | 70.07 65.74–74.39 64.43–75.70 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.82 7.39–14.57 | 11.82 8.87–14.76 8.12–15.51 | 22.80 17.01–28.58 15.51–30.08 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.11 0.95–3.27 0.65–3.57 | 2.03 0.94–3.12 0.65–3.41 | 4.14 1.89–6.39 1.30–6.98 | 41% 20% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.17 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.12–6.60 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.82–4.70 1.44–5.08 | 3.31 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.30 | 6.57 3.58–9.57 2.77–10.38 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.