Championship·Regular Season - 46·
Championship·Regular Season - 46·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.232.92safe0.73–2.660.37–2.081.10–4.75safer0.48–2.910.15–2.310.62–5.23
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.093.718.80safe3.23–6.951.97–5.455.20–12.41safer2.74–7.441.50–5.924.24–13.36
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4511.3026.75safe11.52–19.377.74–14.8619.26–34.23safer10.43–20.466.78–15.8217.21–36.29
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction10.837.7418.58safe7.89–13.785.06–10.4212.95–24.20safer7.06–14.604.32–11.1611.39–25.77
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.127.10safe2.10–5.861.47–4.773.56–10.63safer1.55–6.400.98–5.272.53–11.67
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.964.5910.55safe3.74–8.172.59–6.596.34–14.76safer3.17–8.752.06–7.125.23–15.87
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.6648.13safe44.87–58.4541.35–54.92safer43.20–60.1239.68–56.59
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction443404848safe376–511338–471714–981safer358–529320–488678–1017
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction66.7670.04safe62.73–70.7965.71–74.36safer61.44–72.0864.40–75.67
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2310.8221.04safe7.39–13.067.87–13.7615.26–26.82safer6.63–13.827.12–14.5113.75–28.33
Offsides
47%
19%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.572.224.80safe1.41–3.731.13–3.322.54–7.05safer1.11–4.030.84–3.611.95–7.64
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.803.47safe0.62–2.720.67–2.931.29–5.65safer0.35–2.980.38–3.220.73–6.21
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.405.91safe1.08–3.951.84–4.952.92–8.91safer0.69–4.341.42–5.382.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.73–2.66 0.48–2.91 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.15–2.31 | 2.92 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.09 3.23–6.95 2.74–7.44 | 3.71 1.97–5.45 1.50–5.92 | 8.80 5.20–12.41 4.24–13.36 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.45 11.52–19.37 10.43–20.46 | 11.30 7.74–14.86 6.78–15.82 | 26.75 19.26–34.23 17.21–36.29 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.83 7.89–13.78 7.06–14.60 | 7.74 5.06–10.42 4.32–11.16 | 18.58 12.95–24.20 11.39–25.77 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 3.12 1.47–4.77 0.98–5.27 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.96 3.74–8.17 3.17–8.75 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.06–7.12 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 51.66 44.87–58.45 43.20–60.12 | 48.13 41.35–54.92 39.68–56.59 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 443 376–511 358–529 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 848 714–981 678–1017 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.76 62.73–70.79 61.44–72.08 | 70.04 65.71–74.36 64.40–75.67 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 10.23 7.39–13.06 6.63–13.82 | 10.82 7.87–13.76 7.12–14.51 | 21.04 15.26–26.82 13.75–28.33 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.57 1.41–3.73 1.11–4.03 | 2.22 1.13–3.32 0.84–3.61 | 4.80 2.54–7.05 1.95–7.64 | 47% 19% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.73–6.21 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.40 1.84–4.95 1.42–5.38 | 5.91 2.92–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+