Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.352.99safe0.66–2.600.50–2.211.16–4.81safer0.41–2.850.27–2.440.68–5.29
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.654.399.04safe2.79–6.512.65–6.145.44–12.65safer2.30–7.002.19–6.604.48–13.60
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7113.6328.34safe10.79–18.6410.06–17.1920.85–35.83safer9.70–19.739.10–18.1518.80–37.88
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.228.6617.87safe6.27–12.165.98–11.3412.25–23.50safer5.44–12.995.24–12.0810.68–25.06
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.927.91safe2.11–5.872.27–5.584.38–11.45safer1.57–6.421.78–6.073.34–12.48
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.6710.26safe3.37–7.802.67–6.676.05–14.47safer2.80–8.372.14–7.214.94–15.58
Possession %
47%
49%
homeawayprediction50.1450.53safe43.35–56.9343.75–57.32safer41.68–58.6042.08–58.99
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction456448905safe389–524382–515771–1038safer371–542364–532735–1074
Pass accuracy %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction73.0975.66safe69.06–77.1271.34–79.99safer67.77–78.4170.03–81.30
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0612.6122.67safe7.22–12.899.67–15.5616.89–28.45safer6.46–13.658.92–16.3115.38–29.96
Offsides
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.313.44safe0.96–3.280.22–2.411.19–5.69safer0.66–3.590.00–2.700.60–6.28
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.053.88safe0.78–2.880.92–3.181.70–6.06safer0.52–3.150.63–3.471.14–6.61
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.146.06safe1.48–4.351.59–4.703.06–9.05safer1.09–4.741.16–5.122.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.35 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.44 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.51 2.30–7.00 | 4.39 2.65–6.14 2.19–6.60 | 9.04 5.44–12.65 4.48–13.60 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.71 10.79–18.64 9.70–19.73 | 13.63 10.06–17.19 9.10–18.15 | 28.34 20.85–35.83 18.80–37.88 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.27–12.16 5.44–12.99 | 8.66 5.98–11.34 5.24–12.08 | 17.87 12.25–23.50 10.68–25.06 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.57–6.42 | 3.92 2.27–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 7.91 4.38–11.45 3.34–12.48 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.37–7.80 2.80–8.37 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.21 | 10.26 6.05–14.47 4.94–15.58 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 50.14 43.35–56.93 41.68–58.60 | 50.53 43.75–57.32 42.08–58.99 | — | 47% 49% |
| Passes | 456 389–524 371–542 | 448 382–515 364–532 | 905 771–1038 735–1074 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.09 69.06–77.12 67.77–78.41 | 75.66 71.34–79.99 70.03–81.30 | — | 35% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.89 6.46–13.65 | 12.61 9.67–15.56 8.92–16.31 | 22.67 16.89–28.45 15.38–29.96 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.59 | 1.31 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.44 1.19–5.69 0.60–6.28 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.14–6.61 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.14 1.59–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 6.06 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.