Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.482.77safe0.32–2.250.63–2.340.95–4.59safer0.06–2.500.40–2.570.47–5.07
Shots on target
33%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.984.808.78safe2.12–5.843.06–6.545.18–12.39safer1.63–6.332.59–7.014.22–13.34
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5514.2625.81safe7.63–15.4810.70–17.8218.32–33.30safer6.54–16.579.74–18.7816.27–35.35
Shots in box
33%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.179.4517.62safe5.22–11.116.77–12.1311.99–23.24safer4.39–11.946.03–12.8710.43–24.81
Blocked shots
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.974.187.14safe1.08–4.852.52–5.833.61–10.68safer0.54–5.392.03–6.322.57–11.71
Corners
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.965.5610.52safe2.74–7.173.56–7.566.31–14.74safer2.17–7.753.03–8.105.20–15.84
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.4754.09safe39.68–53.2647.30–60.87safer38.01–54.9345.63–62.54
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction372437809safe305–439371–504676–943safer287–457353–521640–979
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction66.9372.76safe62.91–70.9668.44–77.09safer61.61–72.2667.13–78.40
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4210.5322.96safe9.58–15.267.59–13.4817.17–28.74safer8.83–16.016.84–14.2315.67–30.24
Offsides
54%
19%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.724.17safe1.29–3.610.63–2.821.92–6.43safer0.99–3.910.34–3.101.33–7.02
Yellow cards
49%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.703.85safe1.11–3.210.57–2.821.68–6.03safer0.84–3.470.27–3.121.12–6.59
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.022.625.64safe1.59–4.461.06–4.172.65–8.63safer1.20–4.850.64–4.601.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.32–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.98 2.12–5.84 1.63–6.33 | 4.80 3.06–6.54 2.59–7.01 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.34 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 11.55 7.63–15.48 6.54–16.57 | 14.26 10.70–17.82 9.74–18.78 | 25.81 18.32–33.30 16.27–35.35 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 8.17 5.22–11.11 4.39–11.94 | 9.45 6.77–12.13 6.03–12.87 | 17.62 11.99–23.24 10.43–24.81 | 33% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.08–4.85 0.54–5.39 | 4.18 2.52–5.83 2.03–6.32 | 7.14 3.61–10.68 2.57–11.71 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.74–7.17 2.17–7.75 | 5.56 3.56–7.56 3.03–8.10 | 10.52 6.31–14.74 5.20–15.84 | 37% 51% |
| Possession % | 46.47 39.68–53.26 38.01–54.93 | 54.09 47.30–60.87 45.63–62.54 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–457 | 437 371–504 353–521 | 809 676–943 640–979 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.93 62.91–70.96 61.61–72.26 | 72.76 68.44–77.09 67.13–78.40 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 12.42 9.58–15.26 8.83–16.01 | 10.53 7.59–13.48 6.84–14.23 | 22.96 17.17–28.74 15.67–30.24 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 2.45 1.29–3.61 0.99–3.91 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.10 | 4.17 1.92–6.43 1.33–7.02 | 54% 19% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.84–3.47 | 1.70 0.57–2.82 0.27–3.12 | 3.85 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 49% 21% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.64–4.60 | 5.64 2.65–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+