Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
28%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.202.35safe0.18–2.110.35–2.060.52–4.17safer0.00–2.360.12–2.290.04–4.65
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.687.79safe2.25–5.981.94–5.424.19–11.40safer1.76–6.471.47–5.893.23–12.35
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8412.2826.12safe9.92–17.778.72–15.8418.63–33.61safer8.82–18.867.76–16.8016.58–35.66
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.247.5815.82safe5.30–11.184.90–10.2610.19–21.44safer4.47–12.014.16–11.008.63–23.01
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.277.38safe2.22–5.991.62–4.923.84–10.91safer1.68–6.531.13–5.422.80–11.95
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.115.1410.25safe2.89–7.323.14–7.146.04–14.46safer2.32–7.892.61–7.684.93–15.57
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.7446.60safe46.95–60.5339.81–53.38safer45.28–62.2038.14–55.05
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction436362798safe369–503295–428664–932safer351–522278–446629–967
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction64.7367.61safe60.70–68.7663.29–71.93safer59.41–70.0561.98–73.24
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0512.7123.76safe8.22–13.899.77–15.6617.98–29.55safer7.46–14.659.02–16.4116.48–31.05
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.463.05safe0.42–2.750.37–2.560.80–5.30safer0.12–3.050.08–2.850.21–5.89
Yellow cards
37%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.633.21safe0.54–2.640.50–2.761.04–5.39safer0.27–2.900.21–3.050.48–5.95
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.502.915.41safe1.06–3.941.35–4.462.41–8.40safer0.68–4.320.93–4.891.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.35 0.52–4.17 0.04–4.65 | 35% 28% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.25–5.98 1.76–6.47 | 3.68 1.94–5.42 1.47–5.89 | 7.79 4.19–11.40 3.23–12.35 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.92–17.77 8.82–18.86 | 12.28 8.72–15.84 7.76–16.80 | 26.12 18.63–33.61 16.58–35.66 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.24 5.30–11.18 4.47–12.01 | 7.58 4.90–10.26 4.16–11.00 | 15.82 10.19–21.44 8.63–23.01 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 3.27 1.62–4.92 1.13–5.42 | 7.38 3.84–10.91 2.80–11.95 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.11 2.89–7.32 2.32–7.89 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.61–7.68 | 10.25 6.04–14.46 4.93–15.57 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 53.74 46.95–60.53 45.28–62.20 | 46.60 39.81–53.38 38.14–55.05 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–522 | 362 295–428 278–446 | 798 664–932 629–967 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.73 60.70–68.76 59.41–70.05 | 67.61 63.29–71.93 61.98–73.24 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.22–13.89 7.46–14.65 | 12.71 9.77–15.66 9.02–16.41 | 23.76 17.98–29.55 16.48–31.05 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.75 0.12–3.05 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.21 1.04–5.39 0.48–5.95 | 37% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.94 0.68–4.32 | 2.91 1.35–4.46 0.93–4.89 | 5.41 2.41–8.40 1.60–9.21 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+