Championship·Regular Season - 46·
Championship·Regular Season - 46·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.372.52safe0.19–2.120.52–2.230.70–4.35safer0.00–2.370.29–2.450.22–4.83
Shots on target
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.734.217.94safe1.87–5.592.47–5.954.33–11.54safer1.38–6.082.00–6.423.38–12.50
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6611.7224.38safe8.74–16.598.15–15.2816.89–31.86safer7.64–17.687.19–16.2414.84–33.91
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.598.2216.81safe5.65–11.545.54–10.9011.19–22.44safer4.82–12.364.80–11.649.62–24.00
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.684.047.73safe1.80–5.572.39–5.704.19–11.26safer1.26–6.111.90–6.193.16–12.30
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.185.1010.28safe2.97–7.403.10–7.106.07–14.50safer2.40–7.972.57–7.634.96–15.60
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction45.3056.27safe38.51–52.0949.49–63.06safer36.84–53.7647.82–64.73
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction358436794safe291–425369–502660–928safer273–444352–520625–963
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction59.6870.80safe55.65–63.7166.48–75.12safer54.36–65.0065.17–76.43
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4511.7023.15safe8.61–14.298.76–14.6517.37–28.94safer7.86–15.048.01–15.4015.87–30.44
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.783.59safe0.65–2.970.69–2.881.34–5.85safer0.35–3.270.40–3.160.75–6.44
Yellow cards
36%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.783.40safe0.58–2.670.65–2.911.23–5.58safer0.31–2.940.36–3.200.67–6.14
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.585.29safe1.27–4.141.03–4.142.30–8.28safer0.88–4.530.60–4.561.48–9.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.37 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.45 | 2.52 0.70–4.35 0.22–4.83 | 32% 27% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.73 1.87–5.59 1.38–6.08 | 4.21 2.47–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 7.94 4.33–11.54 3.38–12.50 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.66 8.74–16.59 7.64–17.68 | 11.72 8.15–15.28 7.19–16.24 | 24.38 16.89–31.86 14.84–33.91 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.59 5.65–11.54 4.82–12.36 | 8.22 5.54–10.90 4.80–11.64 | 16.81 11.19–22.44 9.62–24.00 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.80–5.57 1.26–6.11 | 4.04 2.39–5.70 1.90–6.19 | 7.73 4.19–11.26 3.16–12.30 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.57–7.63 | 10.28 6.07–14.50 4.96–15.60 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 45.30 38.51–52.09 36.84–53.76 | 56.27 49.49–63.06 47.82–64.73 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 358 291–425 273–444 | 436 369–502 352–520 | 794 660–928 625–963 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.68 55.65–63.71 54.36–65.00 | 70.80 66.48–75.12 65.17–76.43 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.45 8.61–14.29 7.86–15.04 | 11.70 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.40 | 23.15 17.37–28.94 15.87–30.44 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.16 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.40 1.23–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 36% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 2.58 1.03–4.14 0.60–4.56 | 5.29 2.30–8.28 1.48–9.09 | 43% 18% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+