Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.402.90safe0.53–2.470.55–2.261.08–4.73safer0.28–2.720.32–2.490.60–5.20
Shots on target
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.949.75safe2.95–6.673.20–6.696.15–13.36safer2.46–7.162.74–7.155.19–14.31
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1513.2027.35safe10.22–18.079.64–16.7619.86–34.84safer9.13–19.168.68–17.7217.81–36.89
Shots in box
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.878.3218.19safe6.92–12.815.64–11.0012.57–23.81safer6.09–13.644.91–11.7411.00–25.38
Blocked shots
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.004.018.01safe2.11–5.882.36–5.674.47–11.54safer1.57–6.421.87–6.163.44–12.58
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.324.8410.16safe3.11–7.532.84–6.845.95–14.37safer2.53–8.112.30–7.374.84–15.48
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.2057.06safe36.41–49.9950.28–63.85safer34.74–51.6648.61–65.52
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction378497876safe311–446431–564742–1009safer293–464413–581706–1045
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction65.8175.11safe61.78–69.8470.79–79.44safer60.49–71.1369.48–80.75
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1111.6724.78safe10.27–15.958.73–14.6219.00–30.57safer9.52–16.707.98–15.3717.50–32.07
Offsides
43%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.532.394.93safe1.37–3.691.30–3.492.67–7.18safer1.07–3.991.01–3.782.08–7.77
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.673.47safe0.76–2.850.54–2.791.29–5.65safer0.49–3.120.25–3.090.74–6.21
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.146.08safe1.51–4.381.59–4.703.09–9.08safer1.12–4.771.16–5.122.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.90 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.20 | 40% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 4.94 3.20–6.69 2.74–7.15 | 9.75 6.15–13.36 5.19–14.31 | 42% 45% |
| Total shots | 14.15 10.22–18.07 9.13–19.16 | 13.20 9.64–16.76 8.68–17.72 | 27.35 19.86–34.84 17.81–36.89 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 9.87 6.92–12.81 6.09–13.64 | 8.32 5.64–11.00 4.91–11.74 | 18.19 12.57–23.81 11.00–25.38 | 60% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.11–5.88 1.57–6.42 | 4.01 2.36–5.67 1.87–6.16 | 8.01 4.47–11.54 3.44–12.58 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.53 2.53–8.11 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.30–7.37 | 10.16 5.95–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 43.20 36.41–49.99 34.74–51.66 | 57.06 50.28–63.85 48.61–65.52 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 378 311–446 293–464 | 497 431–564 413–581 | 876 742–1009 706–1045 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.81 61.78–69.84 60.49–71.13 | 75.11 70.79–79.44 69.48–80.75 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 13.11 10.27–15.95 9.52–16.70 | 11.67 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 24.78 19.00–30.57 17.50–32.07 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.53 1.37–3.69 1.07–3.99 | 2.39 1.30–3.49 1.01–3.78 | 4.93 2.67–7.18 2.08–7.77 | 43% 18% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.67 0.54–2.79 0.25–3.09 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 3.14 1.59–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 6.08 3.09–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.