Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.632.82safe0.23–2.160.77–2.481.00–4.65safer0.00–2.410.55–2.710.52–5.13
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.695.008.69safe1.83–5.553.26–6.755.09–12.30safer1.34–6.042.79–7.214.13–13.25
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2514.9326.17safe7.32–15.1711.36–18.4918.68–33.66safer6.23–16.2610.40–19.4516.63–35.71
Shots in box
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.459.7617.21safe4.51–10.397.08–12.4411.58–22.83safer3.68–11.226.34–13.1810.02–24.40
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.034.777.80safe1.15–4.913.12–6.424.26–11.33safer0.60–5.452.62–6.913.23–12.37
Corners
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.435.269.69safe2.22–6.643.26–7.265.48–13.91safer1.64–7.222.73–7.804.37–15.01
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction44.0856.80safe37.29–50.8750.02–63.59safer35.62–52.5448.35–65.26
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction391499890safe323–458433–565756–1023safer305–476415–583720–1059
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.4777.68safe61.44–69.5073.35–82.00safer60.15–70.7972.04–83.31
Fouls
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction10.949.8320.77safe8.10–13.776.89–12.7814.99–26.55safer7.34–14.536.14–13.5313.48–28.06
Offsides
73%
13%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction3.421.534.95safe2.26–4.580.44–2.622.70–7.20safer1.96–4.880.15–2.912.11–7.79
Yellow cards
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.503.27safe0.72–2.820.37–2.631.09–5.45safer0.45–3.080.08–2.920.53–6.01
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
53%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.102.445.54safe1.67–4.540.88–3.992.55–8.53safer1.28–4.930.45–4.421.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.23–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.63 0.77–2.48 0.55–2.71 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.69 1.83–5.55 1.34–6.04 | 5.00 3.26–6.75 2.79–7.21 | 8.69 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.25 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 11.25 7.32–15.17 6.23–16.26 | 14.93 11.36–18.49 10.40–19.45 | 26.17 18.68–33.66 16.63–35.71 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 7.45 4.51–10.39 3.68–11.22 | 9.76 7.08–12.44 6.34–13.18 | 17.21 11.58–22.83 10.02–24.40 | 25% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.03 1.15–4.91 0.60–5.45 | 4.77 3.12–6.42 2.62–6.91 | 7.80 4.26–11.33 3.23–12.37 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 4.43 2.22–6.64 1.64–7.22 | 5.26 3.26–7.26 2.73–7.80 | 9.69 5.48–13.91 4.37–15.01 | 33% 54% |
| Possession % | 44.08 37.29–50.87 35.62–52.54 | 56.80 50.02–63.59 48.35–65.26 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 391 323–458 305–476 | 499 433–565 415–583 | 890 756–1023 720–1059 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.47 61.44–69.50 60.15–70.79 | 77.68 73.35–82.00 72.04–83.31 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.94 8.10–13.77 7.34–14.53 | 9.83 6.89–12.78 6.14–13.53 | 20.77 14.99–26.55 13.48–28.06 | 55% 36% |
| Offsides | 3.42 2.26–4.58 1.96–4.88 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 4.95 2.70–7.20 2.11–7.79 | 73% 13% 13% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 1.50 0.37–2.63 0.08–2.92 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.53–6.01 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 2.44 0.88–3.99 0.45–4.42 | 5.54 2.55–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 53% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+