Championship·Regular Season - 46·
Championship·Regular Season - 46·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.310.883.19safe1.35–3.280.02–1.731.37–5.01safer1.09–3.530.00–1.960.89–5.49
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.3510.00safe4.78–8.511.61–5.096.39–13.60safer4.29–9.001.14–5.565.44–14.56
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.739.9827.72safe13.81–21.666.42–13.5520.23–35.21safer12.72–22.755.46–14.5118.18–37.26
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction12.206.5618.77safe9.26–15.153.88–9.2413.14–24.39safer8.43–15.983.14–9.9811.58–25.96
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.732.967.69safe2.85–6.621.30–4.614.15–11.22safer2.31–7.160.81–5.103.12–12.26
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.433.6811.11safe5.22–9.641.68–5.686.90–15.32safer4.64–10.221.15–6.215.79–16.43
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction60.6138.15safe53.82–67.4031.37–44.94safer52.15–69.0729.70–46.61
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction589342931safe522–656275–408797–1064safer504–674258–426761–1100
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction77.2870.46safe73.25–81.3066.14–74.79safer71.95–82.6064.83–76.10
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3812.8323.21safe7.55–13.229.88–15.7717.43–28.99safer6.79–13.989.13–16.5215.92–30.50
Offsides
57%
19%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.401.543.94safe1.24–3.560.44–2.631.68–6.19safer0.94–3.860.16–2.921.09–6.78
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.213.52safe0.26–2.361.08–3.341.34–5.70safer0.00–2.620.79–3.630.78–6.25
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.736.06safe0.89–3.772.17–5.283.06–9.05safer0.51–4.151.74–5.712.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.31 1.35–3.28 1.09–3.53 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.65 4.78–8.51 4.29–9.00 | 3.35 1.61–5.09 1.14–5.56 | 10.00 6.39–13.60 5.44–14.56 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.73 13.81–21.66 12.72–22.75 | 9.98 6.42–13.55 5.46–14.51 | 27.72 20.23–35.21 18.18–37.26 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 12.20 9.26–15.15 8.43–15.98 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.98 | 18.77 13.14–24.39 11.58–25.96 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.62 2.31–7.16 | 2.96 1.30–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 7.69 4.15–11.22 3.12–12.26 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 7.43 5.22–9.64 4.64–10.22 | 3.68 1.68–5.68 1.15–6.21 | 11.11 6.90–15.32 5.79–16.43 | 84% |
| Possession % | 60.61 53.82–67.40 52.15–69.07 | 38.15 31.37–44.94 29.70–46.61 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 589 522–656 504–674 | 342 275–408 258–426 | 931 797–1064 761–1100 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.28 73.25–81.30 71.95–82.60 | 70.46 66.14–74.79 64.83–76.10 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 10.38 7.55–13.22 6.79–13.98 | 12.83 9.88–15.77 9.13–16.52 | 23.21 17.43–28.99 15.92–30.50 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.40 1.24–3.56 0.94–3.86 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.94 1.68–6.19 1.09–6.78 | 57% 19% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.25 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.77 0.51–4.15 | 3.73 2.17–5.28 1.74–5.71 | 6.06 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.