Championship·Regular Season - 46·
Championship·Regular Season - 46·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.672.95safe0.32–2.250.81–2.521.13–4.77safer0.07–2.500.58–2.750.65–5.25
Shots on target
35%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.124.728.84safe2.26–5.992.98–6.465.24–12.45safer1.77–6.482.51–6.934.28–13.40
Total shots
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8713.1926.06safe8.95–16.799.63–16.7518.57–33.55safer7.85–17.898.67–17.7116.52–35.60
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.079.2017.27safe5.13–11.016.52–11.8811.65–22.89safer4.30–11.845.78–12.6210.08–24.46
Blocked shots
36%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.734.197.92safe1.85–5.612.54–5.844.39–11.46safer1.30–6.152.05–6.343.35–12.49
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.805.2510.05safe2.59–7.013.25–7.255.84–14.27safer2.01–7.592.72–7.794.73–15.38
Possession %
49%
47%
homeawayprediction50.9050.48safe44.11–57.6943.69–57.26safer42.44–59.3642.02–58.93
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction495474970safe428–563408–541836–1104safer410–581390–558800–1139
Pass accuracy %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction74.2276.79safe70.19–78.2572.47–81.12safer68.90–79.5471.16–82.43
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1010.9821.08safe7.27–12.948.03–13.9215.30–26.86safer6.51–13.707.28–14.6713.79–28.37
Offsides
23%
17%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.954.80safe0.70–3.021.86–4.042.55–7.06safer0.39–3.321.57–4.331.96–7.65
Yellow cards
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.643.25safe0.56–2.660.51–2.761.07–5.43safer0.30–2.930.22–3.060.51–5.98
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.815.90safe1.66–4.531.25–4.372.91–8.90safer1.27–4.920.83–4.792.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.32–2.25 0.07–2.50 | 1.67 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.75 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.26–5.99 1.77–6.48 | 4.72 2.98–6.46 2.51–6.93 | 8.84 5.24–12.45 4.28–13.40 | 35% 13% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.87 8.95–16.79 7.85–17.89 | 13.19 9.63–16.75 8.67–17.71 | 26.06 18.57–33.55 16.52–35.60 | 44% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.07 5.13–11.01 4.30–11.84 | 9.20 6.52–11.88 5.78–12.62 | 17.27 11.65–22.89 10.08–24.46 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.30–6.15 | 4.19 2.54–5.84 2.05–6.34 | 7.92 4.39–11.46 3.35–12.49 | 36% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.59–7.01 2.01–7.59 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.79 | 10.05 5.84–14.27 4.73–15.38 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 50.90 44.11–57.69 42.44–59.36 | 50.48 43.69–57.26 42.02–58.93 | — | 49% 47% |
| Passes | 495 428–563 410–581 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 970 836–1104 800–1139 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.22 70.19–78.25 68.90–79.54 | 76.79 72.47–81.12 71.16–82.43 | — | 35% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.10 7.27–12.94 6.51–13.70 | 10.98 8.03–13.92 7.28–14.67 | 21.08 15.30–26.86 13.79–28.37 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.39–3.32 | 2.95 1.86–4.04 1.57–4.33 | 4.80 2.55–7.06 1.96–7.65 | 23% 17% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 1.64 0.51–2.76 0.22–3.06 | 3.25 1.07–5.43 0.51–5.98 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.81 1.25–4.37 0.83–4.79 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+