Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.073.08safe1.05–2.980.21–1.921.26–4.90safer0.79–3.230.00–2.150.78–5.38
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.429.20safe3.91–7.641.68–5.175.60–12.81safer3.43–8.131.21–5.634.64–13.76
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3510.9826.34safe11.43–19.287.42–14.5518.85–33.82safer10.34–20.376.46–15.5116.80–35.87
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.756.4217.17safe7.81–13.693.74–9.1011.54–22.79safer6.98–14.523.00–9.849.98–24.36
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.016.98safe2.09–5.861.35–4.663.45–10.52safer1.55–6.400.86–5.152.41–11.55
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.353.9910.33safe4.13–8.561.99–5.996.12–14.55safer3.56–9.131.46–6.525.01–15.66
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction58.1442.96safe51.35–64.9336.18–49.75safer49.68–66.6034.51–51.42
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction513374888safe446–581308–441754–1021safer428–599290–458718–1057
Pass accuracy %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction73.6670.65safe69.63–77.6966.32–74.97safer68.34–78.9865.01–76.28
Fouls
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1313.8724.00safe7.29–12.9710.93–16.8218.22–29.78safer6.54–13.7210.18–17.5716.72–31.29
Offsides
66%
15%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.261.835.09safe2.10–4.420.74–2.932.84–7.35safer1.80–4.720.45–3.222.25–7.94
Yellow cards
24%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.973.19safe0.18–2.280.84–3.101.02–5.37safer0.00–2.540.55–3.390.46–5.93
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.596.00safe0.98–3.852.03–5.153.01–8.99safer0.59–4.241.61–5.572.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.05–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 59% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.91–7.64 3.43–8.13 | 3.42 1.68–5.17 1.21–5.63 | 9.20 5.60–12.81 4.64–13.76 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 15.35 11.43–19.28 10.34–20.37 | 10.98 7.42–14.55 6.46–15.51 | 26.34 18.85–33.82 16.80–35.87 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.75 7.81–13.69 6.98–14.52 | 6.42 3.74–9.10 3.00–9.84 | 17.17 11.54–22.79 9.98–24.36 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 3.01 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 6.98 3.45–10.52 2.41–11.55 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 6.35 4.13–8.56 3.56–9.13 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.52 | 10.33 6.12–14.55 5.01–15.66 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 58.14 51.35–64.93 49.68–66.60 | 42.96 36.18–49.75 34.51–51.42 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 513 446–581 428–599 | 374 308–441 290–458 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.66 69.63–77.69 68.34–78.98 | 70.65 66.32–74.97 65.01–76.28 | — | 63% 33% |
| Fouls | 10.13 7.29–12.97 6.54–13.72 | 13.87 10.93–16.82 10.18–17.57 | 24.00 18.22–29.78 16.72–31.29 | 19% 75% |
| Offsides | 3.26 2.10–4.42 1.80–4.72 | 1.83 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.22 | 5.09 2.84–7.35 2.25–7.94 | 66% 15% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.23 0.18–2.28 0.00–2.54 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.19 1.02–5.37 0.46–5.93 | 24% 22% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.59 2.03–5.15 1.61–5.57 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.20–9.81 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.