Championship·Regular Season - 46·
Championship·Regular Season - 46·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.283.14safe0.89–2.830.42–2.131.32–4.96safer0.64–3.080.20–2.360.84–5.44
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.239.83safe3.74–7.462.48–5.976.22–13.43safer3.25–7.952.02–6.435.27–14.39
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5912.2228.81safe12.66–20.518.66–15.7921.32–36.30safer11.57–21.607.70–16.7519.27–38.35
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction11.088.2119.28safe8.14–14.025.52–10.8913.66–24.91safer7.31–14.854.79–11.6212.09–26.47
Blocked shots
59%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.227.55safe2.45–6.221.57–4.874.02–11.09safer1.91–6.761.08–5.372.98–12.13
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.334.5110.84safe4.11–8.542.51–6.516.62–15.05safer3.54–9.111.98–7.055.52–16.16
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction55.9843.70safe49.19–62.7736.92–50.49safer47.52–64.4435.25–52.16
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction508372880safe441–575306–439747–1014safer423–593288–456711–1050
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction73.8972.67safe69.86–77.9168.34–76.99safer68.56–79.2167.03–78.30
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5210.8621.38safe7.68–13.367.92–13.8115.60–27.16safer6.93–14.117.17–14.5614.09–28.67
Offsides
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.553.82safe1.11–3.430.46–2.651.57–6.07safer0.81–3.730.17–2.930.98–6.66
Yellow cards
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.532.90safe0.32–2.420.40–2.660.72–5.08safer0.06–2.690.11–2.950.16–5.64
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.030.080.11safe0.00–0.190.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.340.00–0.400.00–0.74
GK saves
30%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.546.28safe1.30–4.171.99–5.103.29–9.27safer0.91–4.561.56–5.522.48–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.83 0.64–3.08 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.20–2.36 | 3.14 1.32–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.60 3.74–7.46 3.25–7.95 | 4.23 2.48–5.97 2.02–6.43 | 9.83 6.22–13.43 5.27–14.39 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.59 12.66–20.51 11.57–21.60 | 12.22 8.66–15.79 7.70–16.75 | 28.81 21.32–36.30 19.27–38.35 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 11.08 8.14–14.02 7.31–14.85 | 8.21 5.52–10.89 4.79–11.62 | 19.28 13.66–24.91 12.09–26.47 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 3.22 1.57–4.87 1.08–5.37 | 7.55 4.02–11.09 2.98–12.13 | 59% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 6.33 4.11–8.54 3.54–9.11 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.05 | 10.84 6.62–15.05 5.52–16.16 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 55.98 49.19–62.77 47.52–64.44 | 43.70 36.92–50.49 35.25–52.16 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 508 441–575 423–593 | 372 306–439 288–456 | 880 747–1014 711–1050 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.89 69.86–77.91 68.56–79.21 | 72.67 68.34–76.99 67.03–78.30 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.68–13.36 6.93–14.11 | 10.86 7.92–13.81 7.17–14.56 | 21.38 15.60–27.16 14.09–28.67 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.27 1.11–3.43 0.81–3.73 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 3.82 1.57–6.07 0.98–6.66 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 2.90 0.72–5.08 0.16–5.64 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.03 0.00–0.19 0.00–0.34 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 3.54 1.99–5.10 1.56–5.52 | 6.28 3.29–9.27 2.48–10.08 | 30% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.