Championship·Regular Season - 46·
Championship·Regular Season - 46·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.182.69safe0.55–2.480.32–2.030.87–4.52safer0.30–2.730.10–2.260.39–5.00
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.068.56safe2.64–6.362.31–5.804.95–12.16safer2.15–6.851.85–6.274.00–13.12
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6612.7325.39safe8.73–16.589.17–16.2917.90–32.87safer7.64–17.678.21–17.2515.85–34.92
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.308.0817.38safe6.36–12.245.39–10.7611.75–23.00safer5.53–13.074.66–11.4910.19–24.57
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.893.657.54safe2.00–5.772.00–5.304.00–11.07safer1.46–6.311.50–5.792.97–12.11
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.304.409.70safe3.08–7.512.40–6.405.48–13.91safer2.51–8.081.87–6.934.38–15.02
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.3947.40safe46.59–60.1840.61–54.18safer44.93–61.8538.94–55.86
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction510410920safe442–577344–477786–1054safer424–595326–494751–1089
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction68.0570.77safe64.02–72.0766.44–75.09safer62.72–73.3765.13–76.40
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction11.569.6321.18safe8.72–14.396.68–12.5715.40–26.96safer7.96–15.155.93–13.3213.90–28.47
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.403.00safe0.44–2.760.31–2.500.75–5.26safer0.14–3.060.02–2.790.16–5.85
Yellow cards
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.503.02safe0.48–2.580.37–2.630.85–5.20safer0.21–2.840.08–2.920.29–5.76
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.250.00–0.45safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.882.745.62safe1.45–4.321.18–4.302.63–8.61safer1.06–4.710.76–4.721.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.48 0.30–2.73 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.10–2.26 | 2.69 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.36 2.15–6.85 | 4.06 2.31–5.80 1.85–6.27 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 12.66 8.73–16.58 7.64–17.67 | 12.73 9.17–16.29 8.21–17.25 | 25.39 17.90–32.87 15.85–34.92 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 9.30 6.36–12.24 5.53–13.07 | 8.08 5.39–10.76 4.66–11.49 | 17.38 11.75–23.00 10.19–24.57 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 3.65 2.00–5.30 1.50–5.79 | 7.54 4.00–11.07 2.97–12.11 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.30 3.08–7.51 2.51–8.08 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.87–6.93 | 9.70 5.48–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 53.39 46.59–60.18 44.93–61.85 | 47.40 40.61–54.18 38.94–55.86 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 510 442–577 424–595 | 410 344–477 326–494 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.05 64.02–72.07 62.72–73.37 | 70.77 66.44–75.09 65.13–76.40 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 9.63 6.68–12.57 5.93–13.32 | 21.18 15.40–26.96 13.90–28.47 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.50 0.37–2.63 0.08–2.92 | 3.02 0.85–5.20 0.29–5.76 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.45 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 2.74 1.18–4.30 0.76–4.72 | 5.62 2.63–8.61 1.82–9.43 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.