Liga I·Regular Season - 16·
Liga I·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.162.61safe0.48–2.420.30–2.010.79–4.43safer0.23–2.670.08–2.240.31–4.91
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.464.178.63safe2.60–6.332.42–5.915.03–12.24safer2.11–6.821.96–6.384.07–13.19
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4312.3225.75safe9.51–17.368.75–15.8818.26–33.23safer8.41–18.457.79–16.8416.21–35.28
Shots in box
59%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction8.927.4616.38safe5.98–11.874.78–10.1410.76–22.01safer5.15–12.694.04–10.889.19–23.57
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.507.11safe1.73–5.491.84–5.153.57–10.64safer1.19–6.041.35–5.642.54–11.68
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.374.379.74safe3.16–7.592.37–6.375.53–13.95safer2.59–8.161.83–6.904.42–15.06
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.2354.63safe39.44–53.0247.84–61.41safer37.77–54.6946.17–63.08
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction374444818safe307–442377–510684–952safer289–460360–528649–987
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction65.6772.94safe61.64–69.7068.62–77.26safer60.35–70.9967.31–78.57
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7712.1224.89safe9.93–15.619.18–15.0719.11–30.68safer9.18–16.378.43–15.8217.61–32.18
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.412.79safe0.22–2.540.32–2.500.54–5.04safer0.00–2.840.03–2.790.00–5.63
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.194.28safe1.04–3.141.06–3.322.10–6.46safer0.78–3.410.77–3.611.55–7.02
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
39%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.096.00safe1.47–4.351.53–4.653.01–8.99safer1.09–4.731.11–5.072.20–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.82 | 4.17 2.42–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 8.63 5.03–12.24 4.07–13.19 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.43 9.51–17.36 8.41–18.45 | 12.32 8.75–15.88 7.79–16.84 | 25.75 18.26–33.23 16.21–35.28 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.92 5.98–11.87 5.15–12.69 | 7.46 4.78–10.14 4.04–10.88 | 16.38 10.76–22.01 9.19–23.57 | 59% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.19–6.04 | 3.50 1.84–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.37 3.16–7.59 2.59–8.16 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 9.74 5.53–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 46.23 39.44–53.02 37.77–54.69 | 54.63 47.84–61.41 46.17–63.08 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 374 307–442 289–460 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 818 684–952 649–987 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.67 61.64–69.70 60.35–70.99 | 72.94 68.62–77.26 67.31–78.57 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 12.77 9.93–15.61 9.18–16.37 | 12.12 9.18–15.07 8.43–15.82 | 24.89 19.11–30.68 17.61–32.18 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 2.79 0.54–5.04 0.00–5.63 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.78–3.41 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.28 2.10–6.46 1.55–7.02 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.35 1.09–4.73 | 3.09 1.53–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.20–9.80 | 39% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.