Liga I·Regular Season - 16·
Liga I·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.422.63safe0.25–2.180.56–2.270.81–4.45safer0.00–2.430.33–2.500.33–4.93
Shots on target
33%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.828.87safe2.18–5.913.08–6.575.26–12.47safer1.69–6.402.61–7.034.31–13.43
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0514.4926.55safe8.13–15.9810.93–18.0619.06–34.03safer7.04–17.079.97–19.0117.01–36.08
Shots in box
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction7.478.5416.02safe4.53–10.425.86–11.2210.39–21.64safer3.70–11.255.12–11.968.83–23.21
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.133.646.77safe1.25–5.011.99–5.293.24–10.31safer0.71–5.561.50–5.792.20–11.34
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.325.349.66safe2.11–6.533.34–7.345.45–13.88safer1.53–7.112.81–7.884.34–14.98
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction45.8853.94safe39.09–52.6747.15–60.72safer37.42–54.3445.48–62.39
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction350431781safe283–418365–497648–915safer265–436347–515612–951
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction64.0771.02safe60.04–68.1066.70–75.35safer58.75–69.3965.39–76.66
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4115.5128.91safe10.57–16.2412.56–18.4523.13–34.69safer9.81–17.0011.81–19.2021.63–36.20
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.783.73safe0.80–3.120.68–2.871.48–5.99safer0.50–3.420.39–3.160.89–6.57
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.192.194.38safe1.14–3.241.06–3.322.20–6.56safer0.87–3.510.77–3.611.65–7.12
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.392.856.24safe1.96–4.831.29–4.413.25–9.24safer1.57–5.220.87–4.832.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.18–5.91 1.69–6.40 | 4.82 3.08–6.57 2.61–7.03 | 8.87 5.26–12.47 4.31–13.43 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.05 8.13–15.98 7.04–17.07 | 14.49 10.93–18.06 9.97–19.01 | 26.55 19.06–34.03 17.01–36.08 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.47 4.53–10.42 3.70–11.25 | 8.54 5.86–11.22 5.12–11.96 | 16.02 10.39–21.64 8.83–23.21 | 35% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.13 1.25–5.01 0.71–5.56 | 3.64 1.99–5.29 1.50–5.79 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.32 2.11–6.53 1.53–7.11 | 5.34 3.34–7.34 2.81–7.88 | 9.66 5.45–13.88 4.34–14.98 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 45.88 39.09–52.67 37.42–54.34 | 53.94 47.15–60.72 45.48–62.39 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 350 283–418 265–436 | 431 365–497 347–515 | 781 648–915 612–951 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.07 60.04–68.10 58.75–69.39 | 71.02 66.70–75.35 65.39–76.66 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 13.41 10.57–16.24 9.81–17.00 | 15.51 12.56–18.45 11.81–19.20 | 28.91 23.13–34.69 21.63–36.20 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.78 0.68–2.87 0.39–3.16 | 3.73 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.57 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.19 1.14–3.24 0.87–3.51 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.38 2.20–6.56 1.65–7.12 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.39 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 6.24 3.25–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+