Liga I·Regular Season - 16·
Liga I·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.340.903.24safe1.37–3.310.04–1.751.42–5.06safer1.12–3.560.00–1.980.94–5.54
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.983.5410.52safe5.12–8.841.79–5.286.91–14.12safer4.63–9.331.33–5.745.95–15.08
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.989.9028.87safe15.05–22.906.33–13.4621.39–36.36safer13.96–23.995.37–14.4219.34–38.41
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.175.8418.00safe9.23–15.113.16–8.5212.38–23.63safer8.40–15.942.42–9.2510.81–25.19
Blocked shots
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.962.477.43safe3.08–6.840.81–4.123.89–10.96safer2.53–7.390.32–4.612.86–12.00
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.173.5010.67safe4.95–9.381.50–5.506.45–14.88safer4.38–9.950.97–6.035.35–15.99
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.8239.41safe54.03–67.6132.63–46.20safer52.36–69.2830.96–47.87
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction533338870safe465–600271–404736–1004safer447–618254–422701–1039
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction75.7769.22safe71.74–79.8064.90–73.55safer70.45–81.0963.59–74.86
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4012.5923.99safe8.56–14.239.64–15.5318.20–29.77safer7.80–14.998.90–16.2816.70–31.27
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.723.42safe0.54–2.860.63–2.811.16–5.67safer0.24–3.160.34–3.100.58–6.26
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.273.94safe0.62–2.721.15–3.401.77–6.12safer0.36–2.990.85–3.691.21–6.68
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.140.21safe0.00–0.230.00–0.330.00–0.56safer0.00–0.380.00–0.460.00–0.84
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.534.446.97safe1.09–3.962.89–6.003.98–9.96safer0.70–4.352.46–6.423.17–10.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.34 1.37–3.31 1.12–3.56 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.98 5.12–8.84 4.63–9.33 | 3.54 1.79–5.28 1.33–5.74 | 10.52 6.91–14.12 5.95–15.08 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.98 15.05–22.90 13.96–23.99 | 9.90 6.33–13.46 5.37–14.42 | 28.87 21.39–36.36 19.34–38.41 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.17 9.23–15.11 8.40–15.94 | 5.84 3.16–8.52 2.42–9.25 | 18.00 12.38–23.63 10.81–25.19 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.96 3.08–6.84 2.53–7.39 | 2.47 0.81–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 77% 13% |
| Corners | 7.17 4.95–9.38 4.38–9.95 | 3.50 1.50–5.50 0.97–6.03 | 10.67 6.45–14.88 5.35–15.99 | 84% |
| Possession % | 60.82 54.03–67.61 52.36–69.28 | 39.41 32.63–46.20 30.96–47.87 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 533 465–600 447–618 | 338 271–404 254–422 | 870 736–1004 701–1039 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.77 71.74–79.80 70.45–81.09 | 69.22 64.90–73.55 63.59–74.86 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 11.40 8.56–14.23 7.80–14.99 | 12.59 9.64–15.53 8.90–16.28 | 23.99 18.20–29.77 16.70–31.27 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.72 0.63–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.58–6.26 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.27 1.15–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 3.94 1.77–6.12 1.21–6.68 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 4.44 2.89–6.00 2.46–6.42 | 6.97 3.98–9.96 3.17–10.77 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.