Liga I·Regular Season - 16·
Liga I·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.793.02safe0.26–2.190.94–2.651.19–4.84safer0.00–2.440.71–2.870.71–5.32
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.145.559.69safe2.28–6.013.81–7.296.09–13.30safer1.79–6.503.34–7.765.13–14.25
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6414.8327.47safe8.72–16.5711.27–18.3919.98–34.96safer7.62–17.6610.31–19.3517.93–37.01
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1110.2618.37safe5.16–11.057.58–12.9412.75–23.99safer4.33–11.886.84–13.6811.18–25.56
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.224.127.34safe1.34–5.102.47–5.773.80–10.87safer0.79–5.651.97–6.262.77–11.91
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.875.1410.01safe2.66–7.083.14–7.145.80–14.23safer2.08–7.662.61–7.684.69–15.33
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction47.0653.98safe40.27–53.8547.20–60.77safer38.60–55.5245.53–62.44
Passes
31%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction427485912safe360–494418–551778–1046safer342–512401–569743–1081
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction68.7577.20safe64.72–72.7872.88–81.53safer63.43–74.0871.57–82.84
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1211.1222.24safe8.29–13.968.18–14.0716.46–28.03safer7.53–14.727.43–14.8114.96–29.53
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.453.13safe0.52–2.840.36–2.550.88–5.39safer0.22–3.140.07–2.830.29–5.98
Yellow cards
41%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.994.04safe1.00–3.100.86–3.121.86–6.21safer0.73–3.360.57–3.411.30–6.77
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.100.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.966.63safe2.24–5.111.40–4.523.64–9.63safer1.85–5.500.98–4.942.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.26–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.79 0.94–2.65 0.71–2.87 | 3.02 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.50 | 5.55 3.81–7.29 3.34–7.76 | 9.69 6.09–13.30 5.13–14.25 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 12.64 8.72–16.57 7.62–17.66 | 14.83 11.27–18.39 10.31–19.35 | 27.47 19.98–34.96 17.93–37.01 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 8.11 5.16–11.05 4.33–11.88 | 10.26 7.58–12.94 6.84–13.68 | 18.37 12.75–23.99 11.18–25.56 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.34–5.10 0.79–5.65 | 4.12 2.47–5.77 1.97–6.26 | 7.34 3.80–10.87 2.77–11.91 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.66–7.08 2.08–7.66 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.61–7.68 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.33 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 47.06 40.27–53.85 38.60–55.52 | 53.98 47.20–60.77 45.53–62.44 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 427 360–494 342–512 | 485 418–551 401–569 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 31% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.75 64.72–72.78 63.43–74.08 | 77.20 72.88–81.53 71.57–82.84 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.12 8.29–13.96 7.53–14.72 | 11.12 8.18–14.07 7.43–14.81 | 22.24 16.46–28.03 14.96–29.53 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.45 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.83 | 3.13 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 4.04 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 41% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.24–5.11 1.85–5.50 | 2.96 1.40–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 6.63 3.64–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 53% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.