Liga I·Regular Season - 16·
Liga I·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.302.56safe0.30–2.230.44–2.150.74–4.38safer0.04–2.480.21–2.380.26–4.86
Shots on target
45%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.584.429.00safe2.72–6.442.68–6.175.40–12.61safer2.23–6.932.22–6.634.44–13.56
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5812.7626.34safe9.66–17.519.20–16.3218.86–33.83safer8.57–18.608.24–17.2816.80–35.88
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.957.9116.86safe6.01–11.895.23–10.5911.24–22.48safer5.18–12.724.49–11.339.67–24.05
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.723.427.14safe1.83–5.601.77–5.083.60–10.68safer1.29–6.141.28–5.572.57–11.71
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.054.4410.48safe3.83–8.262.44–6.446.27–14.70safer3.26–8.831.90–6.975.16–15.81
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.6353.18safe39.84–53.4246.40–59.97safer38.17–55.0944.72–61.64
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction356422778safe289–423355–488644–911safer270–441338–506608–947
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction62.9670.42safe58.93–66.9866.10–74.74safer57.63–68.2864.79–76.05
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5512.2724.82safe9.72–15.399.33–15.2219.04–30.61safer8.96–16.158.58–15.9617.54–32.11
Offsides
48%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.283.00safe0.56–2.880.19–2.370.75–5.25safer0.26–3.180.00–2.660.16–5.84
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.043.94safe0.85–2.950.91–3.171.76–6.12safer0.59–3.220.62–3.461.21–6.68
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.256.17safe1.48–4.351.70–4.813.18–9.16safer1.09–4.741.27–5.232.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.30 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.58 2.72–6.44 2.23–6.93 | 4.42 2.68–6.17 2.22–6.63 | 9.00 5.40–12.61 4.44–13.56 | 45% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.58 9.66–17.51 8.57–18.60 | 12.76 9.20–16.32 8.24–17.28 | 26.34 18.86–33.83 16.80–35.88 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.95 6.01–11.89 5.18–12.72 | 7.91 5.23–10.59 4.49–11.33 | 16.86 11.24–22.48 9.67–24.05 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.83–5.60 1.29–6.14 | 3.42 1.77–5.08 1.28–5.57 | 7.14 3.60–10.68 2.57–11.71 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.83–8.26 3.26–8.83 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.90–6.97 | 10.48 6.27–14.70 5.16–15.81 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 46.63 39.84–53.42 38.17–55.09 | 53.18 46.40–59.97 44.72–61.64 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 356 289–423 270–441 | 422 355–488 338–506 | 778 644–911 608–947 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.96 58.93–66.98 57.63–68.28 | 70.42 66.10–74.74 64.79–76.05 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.72–15.39 8.96–16.15 | 12.27 9.33–15.22 8.58–15.96 | 24.82 19.04–30.61 17.54–32.11 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 3.00 0.75–5.25 0.16–5.84 | 48% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.21–6.68 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.25 1.70–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 6.17 3.18–9.16 2.37–9.98 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.