Liga I·Regular Season - 16·
Liga I·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.890.892.78safe0.92–2.850.04–1.750.95–4.60safer0.67–3.100.00–1.970.47–5.08
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.083.649.73safe4.22–7.951.90–5.386.12–13.33safer3.73–8.441.43–5.855.16–14.29
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction18.5710.5629.13safe14.65–22.506.99–14.1221.64–36.62safer13.56–23.596.03–15.0819.59–38.67
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.796.1917.98safe8.85–14.743.51–8.8712.36–23.61safer8.02–15.572.77–9.6110.79–25.17
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.472.607.07safe2.59–6.350.95–4.253.53–10.60safer2.04–6.890.46–4.752.50–11.64
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.753.6310.39safe4.54–8.971.63–5.636.17–14.60safer3.96–9.541.10–6.175.07–15.71
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.7638.14safe54.97–68.5531.36–44.93safer53.30–70.2229.68–46.60
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction575333907safe508–642266–399774–1041safer490–660249–417738–1077
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction77.8267.85safe73.79–81.8563.53–72.18safer72.50–83.1462.22–73.49
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5412.6424.19safe8.71–14.389.70–15.5918.40–29.97safer7.95–15.148.95–16.3416.90–31.47
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.393.01safe0.46–2.780.30–2.490.76–5.27safer0.16–3.080.01–2.780.17–5.86
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.404.04safe0.58–2.681.27–3.531.86–6.21safer0.32–2.950.98–3.821.30–6.77
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
21%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.554.086.63safe1.12–3.992.52–5.633.64–9.63safer0.73–4.382.10–6.062.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.85 0.67–3.10 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.97 | 2.78 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 61% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.08 4.22–7.95 3.73–8.44 | 3.64 1.90–5.38 1.43–5.85 | 9.73 6.12–13.33 5.16–14.29 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 18.57 14.65–22.50 13.56–23.59 | 10.56 6.99–14.12 6.03–15.08 | 29.13 21.64–36.62 19.59–38.67 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.79 8.85–14.74 8.02–15.57 | 6.19 3.51–8.87 2.77–9.61 | 17.98 12.36–23.61 10.79–25.17 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 2.60 0.95–4.25 0.46–4.75 | 7.07 3.53–10.60 2.50–11.64 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.75 4.54–8.97 3.96–9.54 | 3.63 1.63–5.63 1.10–6.17 | 10.39 6.17–14.60 5.07–15.71 | 79% |
| Possession % | 61.76 54.97–68.55 53.30–70.22 | 38.14 31.36–44.93 29.68–46.60 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 575 508–642 490–660 | 333 266–399 249–417 | 907 774–1041 738–1077 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.82 73.79–81.85 72.50–83.14 | 67.85 63.53–72.18 62.22–73.49 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.71–14.38 7.95–15.14 | 12.64 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.34 | 24.19 18.40–29.97 16.90–31.47 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.78 | 3.01 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.86 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.04 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 4.08 2.52–5.63 2.10–6.06 | 6.63 3.64–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 21% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.