Liga I·Regular Season - 16·
Liga I·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.372.64safe0.30–2.230.52–2.230.82–4.46safer0.05–2.480.29–2.460.34–4.94
Shots on target
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.354.709.05safe2.49–6.212.96–6.455.45–12.66safer2.00–6.702.50–6.914.49–13.61
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7614.2728.03safe9.83–17.6810.70–17.8320.54–35.51safer8.74–18.779.74–18.7918.49–37.56
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.369.2117.57safe5.42–11.306.53–11.8911.95–23.20safer4.59–12.135.79–12.6310.38–24.76
Blocked shots
39%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.957.62safe1.79–5.552.30–5.604.08–11.15safer1.24–6.091.80–6.093.05–12.19
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.645.119.75safe2.43–6.863.11–7.115.54–13.96safer1.86–7.432.57–7.644.43–15.07
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction50.7149.02safe43.92–57.5042.24–55.81safer42.25–59.1740.57–57.48
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction469432901safe401–536366–499767–1035safer383–554348–516732–1070
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction70.6272.96safe66.59–74.6468.64–77.29safer65.29–75.9467.33–78.60
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2613.1324.39safe8.42–14.1010.18–16.0718.61–30.17safer7.67–14.859.44–16.8217.10–31.67
Offsides
39%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.352.79safe0.28–2.600.25–2.440.53–5.04safer0.00–2.900.00–2.730.00–5.63
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.983.98safe0.95–3.050.85–3.111.80–6.16safer0.68–3.310.56–3.401.24–6.72
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.102.996.09safe1.66–4.531.44–4.553.10–9.08safer1.27–4.921.01–4.972.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.48 | 1.37 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.46 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 34% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.21 2.00–6.70 | 4.70 2.96–6.45 2.50–6.91 | 9.05 5.45–12.66 4.49–13.61 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.76 9.83–17.68 8.74–18.77 | 14.27 10.70–17.83 9.74–18.79 | 28.03 20.54–35.51 18.49–37.56 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.36 5.42–11.30 4.59–12.13 | 9.21 6.53–11.89 5.79–12.63 | 17.57 11.95–23.20 10.38–24.76 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.95 2.30–5.60 1.80–6.09 | 7.62 4.08–11.15 3.05–12.19 | 39% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.43–6.86 1.86–7.43 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.57–7.64 | 9.75 5.54–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 50.71 43.92–57.50 42.25–59.17 | 49.02 42.24–55.81 40.57–57.48 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 469 401–536 383–554 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 901 767–1035 732–1070 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.62 66.59–74.64 65.29–75.94 | 72.96 68.64–77.29 67.33–78.60 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 11.26 8.42–14.10 7.67–14.85 | 13.13 10.18–16.07 9.44–16.82 | 24.39 18.61–30.17 17.10–31.67 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.35 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 2.79 0.53–5.04 0.00–5.63 | 39% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.68–3.31 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.98 1.80–6.16 1.24–6.72 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.99 1.44–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+