Liga I·Regular Season - 16·
Liga I·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
22%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.872.91safe0.07–2.001.02–2.731.09–4.73safer0.00–2.260.79–2.960.61–5.21
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.715.188.90safe1.85–5.583.44–6.935.29–12.50safer1.36–6.072.97–7.394.34–13.46
Total shots
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4114.2825.69safe7.48–15.3310.72–17.8518.20–33.18safer6.39–16.429.76–18.8016.15–35.23
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8310.1516.98safe3.89–9.777.47–12.8311.35–22.60safer3.06–10.606.73–13.579.79–24.17
Blocked shots
25%
13%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.104.447.55safe1.22–4.992.79–6.094.01–11.08safer0.68–5.532.30–6.592.97–12.12
Corners
28%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.285.659.93safe2.07–6.503.65–7.655.72–14.14safer1.50–7.073.11–8.184.61–15.25
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction45.0056.94safe38.21–51.7950.16–63.73safer36.54–53.4648.49–65.40
Passes
22%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction358449807safe291–425383–516673–941safer273–443365–533638–976
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction64.3973.79safe60.36–68.4269.46–78.11safer59.07–69.7168.15–79.42
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7912.4423.23safe7.95–13.639.49–15.3817.45–29.01safer7.20–14.388.74–16.1315.94–30.51
Offsides
52%
19%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.441.824.26safe1.28–3.600.73–2.912.01–6.51safer0.98–3.900.44–3.201.42–7.10
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.853.66safe0.75–2.850.73–2.981.48–5.84safer0.49–3.120.43–3.270.92–6.39
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.655.88safe1.79–4.661.10–4.212.89–8.87safer1.40–5.050.67–4.632.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.00 0.00–2.26 | 1.87 1.02–2.73 0.79–2.96 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 21% 22% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.71 1.85–5.58 1.36–6.07 | 5.18 3.44–6.93 2.97–7.39 | 8.90 5.29–12.50 4.34–13.46 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 11.41 7.48–15.33 6.39–16.42 | 14.28 10.72–17.85 9.76–18.80 | 25.69 18.20–33.18 16.15–35.23 | 25% 68% |
| Shots in box | 6.83 3.89–9.77 3.06–10.60 | 10.15 7.47–12.83 6.73–13.57 | 16.98 11.35–22.60 9.79–24.17 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 3.10 1.22–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 4.44 2.79–6.09 2.30–6.59 | 7.55 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.12 | 25% 13% 62% |
| Corners | 4.28 2.07–6.50 1.50–7.07 | 5.65 3.65–7.65 3.11–8.18 | 9.93 5.72–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 28% 61% |
| Possession % | 45.00 38.21–51.79 36.54–53.46 | 56.94 50.16–63.73 48.49–65.40 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 358 291–425 273–443 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 807 673–941 638–976 | 22% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.39 60.36–68.42 59.07–69.71 | 73.79 69.46–78.11 68.15–79.42 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.79 7.95–13.63 7.20–14.38 | 12.44 9.49–15.38 8.74–16.13 | 23.23 17.45–29.01 15.94–30.51 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.44 1.28–3.60 0.98–3.90 | 1.82 0.73–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 4.26 2.01–6.51 1.42–7.10 | 52% 19% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.85 0.73–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.39 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.65 1.10–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 5.88 2.89–8.87 2.08–9.69 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.