Liga I·Regular Season - 17·
Liga I·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.512.79safe0.31–2.250.66–2.370.97–4.62safer0.06–2.500.43–2.600.49–5.10
Shots on target
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.644.749.38safe2.77–6.503.00–6.485.77–12.98safer2.28–6.992.53–6.954.82–13.94
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9513.0226.97safe10.02–17.879.46–16.5819.48–34.46safer8.93–18.968.50–17.5417.43–36.51
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.208.1417.34safe6.25–12.145.46–10.8211.71–22.96safer5.42–12.974.72–11.5610.15–24.53
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.083.017.09safe2.19–5.961.36–4.673.55–10.62safer1.65–6.500.87–5.162.52–11.66
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.8010.21safe3.20–7.622.80–6.806.00–14.42safer2.62–8.202.27–7.334.89–15.53
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction47.1753.84safe40.38–53.9647.06–60.63safer38.71–55.6345.39–62.30
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction405464870safe338–473398–531736–1003safer320–491380–548700–1039
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction65.8470.07safe61.81–69.8765.74–74.39safer60.52–71.1664.43–75.70
Fouls
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8111.4824.29safe9.97–15.648.54–14.4218.50–30.07safer9.21–16.407.79–15.1717.00–31.57
Offsides
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.013.52safe0.35–2.670.92–3.101.27–5.77safer0.05–2.970.63–3.390.68–6.36
Yellow cards
41%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.352.294.64safe1.30–3.401.16–3.422.46–6.81safer1.03–3.660.87–3.711.90–7.37
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.166.23safe1.64–4.511.60–4.723.24–9.23safer1.25–4.901.18–5.142.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.77–6.50 2.28–6.99 | 4.74 3.00–6.48 2.53–6.95 | 9.38 5.77–12.98 4.82–13.94 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total shots | 13.95 10.02–17.87 8.93–18.96 | 13.02 9.46–16.58 8.50–17.54 | 26.97 19.48–34.46 17.43–36.51 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 9.20 6.25–12.14 5.42–12.97 | 8.14 5.46–10.82 4.72–11.56 | 17.34 11.71–22.96 10.15–24.53 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.19–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 3.01 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.20–7.62 2.62–8.20 | 4.80 2.80–6.80 2.27–7.33 | 10.21 6.00–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 47.17 40.38–53.96 38.71–55.63 | 53.84 47.06–60.63 45.39–62.30 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 405 338–473 320–491 | 464 398–531 380–548 | 870 736–1003 700–1039 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.84 61.81–69.87 60.52–71.16 | 70.07 65.74–74.39 64.43–75.70 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 12.81 9.97–15.64 9.21–16.40 | 11.48 8.54–14.42 7.79–15.17 | 24.29 18.50–30.07 17.00–31.57 | 57% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 2.01 0.92–3.10 0.63–3.39 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.35 1.30–3.40 1.03–3.66 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.64 2.46–6.81 1.90–7.37 | 41% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 3.16 1.60–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 6.23 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.