Liga I·Regular Season - 17·
Liga I·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.302.59safe0.32–2.250.45–2.160.76–4.41safer0.06–2.500.22–2.390.28–4.89
Shots on target
43%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.544.559.09safe2.68–6.402.81–6.305.49–12.70safer2.19–6.892.34–6.764.53–13.65
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9512.9827.92safe11.02–18.879.42–16.5420.44–35.41safer9.93–19.968.46–17.5018.39–37.46
Shots in box
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.698.4217.12safe5.75–11.635.74–11.1011.49–22.74safer4.92–12.465.01–11.849.93–24.31
Blocked shots
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.053.747.79safe2.17–5.932.09–5.404.26–11.33safer1.62–6.471.60–5.893.22–12.36
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.549.67safe2.92–7.352.54–6.545.46–13.88safer2.34–7.922.00–7.074.35–14.99
Possession %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction46.0054.21safe39.21–52.7947.42–60.99safer37.54–54.4645.75–62.66
Passes
28%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction413480893safe346–480414–547760–1027safer327–498396–564724–1063
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction71.1077.57safe67.07–75.1373.25–81.90safer65.78–76.4271.94–83.21
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9011.9224.83safe10.07–15.748.98–14.8719.05–30.61safer9.31–16.508.23–15.6217.54–32.12
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.202.84safe0.49–2.810.10–2.290.59–5.10safer0.19–3.110.00–2.580.00–5.69
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.164.37safe1.16–3.261.03–3.292.19–6.55safer0.90–3.530.74–3.581.64–7.11
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
40%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.106.07safe1.53–4.401.55–4.663.08–9.06safer1.14–4.791.12–5.092.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.32–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.59 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 36% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.40 2.19–6.89 | 4.55 2.81–6.30 2.34–6.76 | 9.09 5.49–12.70 4.53–13.65 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.95 11.02–18.87 9.93–19.96 | 12.98 9.42–16.54 8.46–17.50 | 27.92 20.44–35.41 18.39–37.46 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.69 5.75–11.63 4.92–12.46 | 8.42 5.74–11.10 5.01–11.84 | 17.12 11.49–22.74 9.93–24.31 | 48% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.17–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 3.74 2.09–5.40 1.60–5.89 | 7.79 4.26–11.33 3.22–12.36 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.92–7.35 2.34–7.92 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.00–7.07 | 9.67 5.46–13.88 4.35–14.99 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 46.00 39.21–52.79 37.54–54.46 | 54.21 47.42–60.99 45.75–62.66 | — | 29% 66% |
| Passes | 413 346–480 327–498 | 480 414–547 396–564 | 893 760–1027 724–1063 | 28% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.10 67.07–75.13 65.78–76.42 | 77.57 73.25–81.90 71.94–83.21 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 12.90 10.07–15.74 9.31–16.50 | 11.92 8.98–14.87 8.23–15.62 | 24.83 19.05–30.61 17.54–32.12 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.20 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 2.84 0.59–5.10 0.00–5.69 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.21 1.16–3.26 0.90–3.53 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 4.37 2.19–6.55 1.64–7.11 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.10 1.55–4.66 1.12–5.09 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 40% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.