Liga I·Regular Season - 17·
Liga I·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.740.972.71safe0.77–2.710.12–1.830.89–4.53safer0.52–2.960.00–2.060.41–5.01
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.703.389.07safe3.83–7.561.63–5.125.47–12.68safer3.34–8.051.17–5.584.51–13.63
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7610.3627.12safe12.83–20.686.80–13.9319.63–34.61safer11.74–21.775.84–14.8917.58–36.66
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.626.6117.23safe7.68–13.573.93–9.2911.61–22.86safer6.85–14.403.19–10.0310.04–24.42
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.652.717.36safe2.76–6.531.06–4.373.82–10.89safer2.22–7.070.57–4.862.79–11.93
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.453.499.94safe4.24–8.661.49–5.495.73–14.15safer3.66–9.240.96–6.024.62–15.26
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.2841.22safe51.49–65.0734.44–48.01safer49.82–66.7432.77–49.68
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction479313792safe412–546247–380658–926safer394–564229–397623–962
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction73.3967.55safe69.36–77.4263.23–71.87safer68.07–78.7161.92–73.18
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8814.5027.38safe10.04–15.7211.56–17.4521.60–33.16safer9.29–16.4710.81–18.2020.10–34.67
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.393.05safe0.51–2.830.29–2.480.80–5.31safer0.21–3.130.00–2.770.21–5.90
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.414.07safe0.61–2.711.28–3.541.89–6.25safer0.34–2.970.99–3.831.34–6.81
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.404.206.60safe0.96–3.832.64–5.763.60–9.59safer0.57–4.222.22–6.182.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 55% 24% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.70 3.83–7.56 3.34–8.05 | 3.38 1.63–5.12 1.17–5.58 | 9.07 5.47–12.68 4.51–13.63 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.76 12.83–20.68 11.74–21.77 | 10.36 6.80–13.93 5.84–14.89 | 27.12 19.63–34.61 17.58–36.66 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.62 7.68–13.57 6.85–14.40 | 6.61 3.93–9.29 3.19–10.03 | 17.23 11.61–22.86 10.04–24.42 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.76–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 2.71 1.06–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 7.36 3.82–10.89 2.79–11.93 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.45 4.24–8.66 3.66–9.24 | 3.49 1.49–5.49 0.96–6.02 | 9.94 5.73–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 58.28 51.49–65.07 49.82–66.74 | 41.22 34.44–48.01 32.77–49.68 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 479 412–546 394–564 | 313 247–380 229–397 | 792 658–926 623–962 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.39 69.36–77.42 68.07–78.71 | 67.55 63.23–71.87 61.92–73.18 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 12.88 10.04–15.72 9.29–16.47 | 14.50 11.56–17.45 10.81–18.20 | 27.38 21.60–33.16 20.10–34.67 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 3.05 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.34–6.81 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 4.20 2.64–5.76 2.22–6.18 | 6.60 3.60–9.59 2.79–10.40 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+