Liga I·Regular Season - 17·
Liga I·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.602.74safe0.17–2.110.74–2.450.91–4.56safer0.00–2.360.51–2.680.43–5.04
Shots on target
33%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.104.929.03safe2.24–5.963.18–6.675.42–12.63safer1.75–6.452.72–7.134.47–13.59
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1413.9427.08safe9.22–17.0710.37–17.5019.59–34.57safer8.13–18.169.41–18.4617.54–36.62
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.868.8316.68safe4.91–10.806.15–11.5111.06–22.31safer4.09–11.635.41–12.249.49–23.87
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.223.736.95safe1.34–5.102.07–5.383.41–10.48safer0.79–5.651.58–5.872.38–11.52
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.615.4410.05safe2.40–6.833.44–7.445.84–14.26safer1.83–7.402.90–7.974.73–15.37
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.4153.48safe39.62–53.2046.69–60.26safer37.95–54.8745.02–61.93
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction403467870safe336–470400–533736–1003safer318–488383–551700–1039
Pass accuracy %
15%
81%
homeawayprediction63.7271.11safe59.69–67.7566.78–75.43safer58.40–69.0465.47–76.74
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5512.1223.67safe8.71–14.389.18–15.0717.88–29.45safer7.95–15.148.43–15.8116.38–30.95
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.513.12safe0.45–2.770.42–2.600.87–5.37safer0.15–3.070.13–2.890.28–5.96
Yellow cards
40%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.853.71safe0.81–2.910.72–2.981.53–5.89safer0.55–3.180.43–3.270.97–6.45
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.026.27safe1.82–4.691.47–4.583.28–9.27safer1.43–5.081.04–5.002.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.60 0.74–2.45 0.51–2.68 | 2.74 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.24–5.96 1.75–6.45 | 4.92 3.18–6.67 2.72–7.13 | 9.03 5.42–12.63 4.47–13.59 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.14 9.22–17.07 8.13–18.16 | 13.94 10.37–17.50 9.41–18.46 | 27.08 19.59–34.57 17.54–36.62 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.86 4.91–10.80 4.09–11.63 | 8.83 6.15–11.51 5.41–12.24 | 16.68 11.06–22.31 9.49–23.87 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.34–5.10 0.79–5.65 | 3.73 2.07–5.38 1.58–5.87 | 6.95 3.41–10.48 2.38–11.52 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.61 2.40–6.83 1.83–7.40 | 5.44 3.44–7.44 2.90–7.97 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 46.41 39.62–53.20 37.95–54.87 | 53.48 46.69–60.26 45.02–61.93 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 403 336–470 318–488 | 467 400–533 383–551 | 870 736–1003 700–1039 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.72 59.69–67.75 58.40–69.04 | 71.11 66.78–75.43 65.47–76.74 | — | 15% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.71–14.38 7.95–15.14 | 12.12 9.18–15.07 8.43–15.81 | 23.67 17.88–29.45 16.38–30.95 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.12 0.87–5.37 0.28–5.96 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.97–6.45 | 40% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.82–4.69 1.43–5.08 | 3.02 1.47–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 6.27 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+