Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.392.74safe0.38–2.320.54–2.250.92–4.56safer0.13–2.570.31–2.480.44–5.04
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.754.579.32safe2.88–6.612.83–6.315.71–12.92safer2.39–7.102.36–6.784.76–13.88
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2313.3227.55safe10.30–18.159.76–16.8820.06–35.04safer9.21–19.248.80–17.8418.01–37.09
Shots in box
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.508.6617.16safe5.56–11.445.98–11.3411.53–22.78safer4.73–12.275.24–12.089.97–24.35
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.967.82safe1.98–5.752.31–5.614.29–11.36safer1.44–6.291.81–6.113.25–12.40
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.8310.28safe3.24–7.672.83–6.836.07–14.50safer2.67–8.242.30–7.364.96–15.60
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.7846.08safe47.99–61.5739.30–52.87safer46.32–63.2437.63–54.54
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction439370809safe372–507303–436676–943safer354–525286–454640–979
Pass accuracy %
52%
42%
homeawayprediction70.3469.37safe66.31–74.3765.05–73.70safer65.02–75.6763.74–75.01
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7513.9526.70safe9.91–15.5911.00–16.8920.91–32.48safer9.15–16.3410.25–17.6419.41–33.98
Offsides
45%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.423.16safe0.58–2.900.32–2.510.90–5.41safer0.28–3.200.04–2.800.31–6.00
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.294.42safe1.09–3.181.16–3.422.25–6.60safer0.82–3.450.87–3.711.69–7.16
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.166.18safe1.58–4.451.61–4.723.19–9.17safer1.19–4.841.18–5.142.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.75 2.88–6.61 2.39–7.10 | 4.57 2.83–6.31 2.36–6.78 | 9.32 5.71–12.92 4.76–13.88 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.23 10.30–18.15 9.21–19.24 | 13.32 9.76–16.88 8.80–17.84 | 27.55 20.06–35.04 18.01–37.09 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.56–11.44 4.73–12.27 | 8.66 5.98–11.34 5.24–12.08 | 17.16 11.53–22.78 9.97–24.35 | 44% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.75 1.44–6.29 | 3.96 2.31–5.61 1.81–6.11 | 7.82 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.40 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.67 2.67–8.24 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.36 | 10.28 6.07–14.50 4.96–15.60 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 54.78 47.99–61.57 46.32–63.24 | 46.08 39.30–52.87 37.63–54.54 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 439 372–507 354–525 | 370 303–436 286–454 | 809 676–943 640–979 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.34 66.31–74.37 65.02–75.67 | 69.37 65.05–73.70 63.74–75.01 | — | 52% 42% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.91–15.59 9.15–16.34 | 13.95 11.00–16.89 10.25–17.64 | 26.70 20.91–32.48 19.41–33.98 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.16 0.90–5.41 0.31–6.00 | 45% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.09–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.42 2.25–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.58–4.45 1.19–4.84 | 3.16 1.61–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.38–9.99 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.