Liga I·Regular Season - 17·
Liga I·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.112.49safe0.40–2.340.26–1.970.66–4.31safer0.15–2.590.03–2.200.18–4.79
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.068.49safe2.57–6.302.32–5.804.89–12.10safer2.08–6.791.85–6.273.93–13.05
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4513.1526.60safe9.52–17.379.59–16.7219.11–34.09safer8.43–18.468.63–17.6817.06–36.14
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction7.647.9015.54safe4.70–10.585.22–10.589.91–21.16safer3.87–11.414.48–11.328.35–22.73
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.507.11safe1.73–5.491.84–5.153.57–10.65safer1.19–6.041.35–5.642.54–11.68
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.114.799.90safe2.90–7.322.79–6.795.69–14.11safer2.32–7.902.26–7.334.58–15.22
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction52.9946.41safe46.20–59.7839.63–53.20safer44.53–61.4537.95–54.87
Passes
77%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction436345782safe369–503279–412648–915safer351–522261–429612–951
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction64.0466.65safe60.01–68.0762.33–70.98safer58.71–69.3661.02–72.29
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8213.4024.22safe7.98–13.6610.46–16.3518.44–30.00safer7.22–14.419.71–17.1016.93–31.51
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.472.90safe0.28–2.600.37–2.560.65–5.16safer0.00–2.900.09–2.850.06–5.75
Yellow cards
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.404.14safe0.69–2.791.27–3.531.96–6.32safer0.42–3.050.98–3.821.40–6.88
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.140.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
40%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.893.015.90safe1.45–4.331.46–4.572.91–8.90safer1.07–4.711.03–4.992.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 2.49 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.79 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.57–6.30 2.08–6.79 | 4.06 2.32–5.80 1.85–6.27 | 8.49 4.89–12.10 3.93–13.05 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.45 9.52–17.37 8.43–18.46 | 13.15 9.59–16.72 8.63–17.68 | 26.60 19.11–34.09 17.06–36.14 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.64 4.70–10.58 3.87–11.41 | 7.90 5.22–10.58 4.48–11.32 | 15.54 9.91–21.16 8.35–22.73 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.19–6.04 | 3.50 1.84–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 7.11 3.57–10.65 2.54–11.68 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.11 2.90–7.32 2.32–7.90 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.33 | 9.90 5.69–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 52.99 46.20–59.78 44.53–61.45 | 46.41 39.63–53.20 37.95–54.87 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–522 | 345 279–412 261–429 | 782 648–915 612–951 | 77% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.04 60.01–68.07 58.71–69.36 | 66.65 62.33–70.98 61.02–72.29 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.66 7.22–14.41 | 13.40 10.46–16.35 9.71–17.10 | 24.22 18.44–30.00 16.93–31.51 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 2.90 0.65–5.16 0.06–5.75 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.40–6.88 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.45–4.33 1.07–4.71 | 3.01 1.46–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 40% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.