Liga I·Regular Season - 17·
Liga I·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.200.963.16safe1.23–3.170.10–1.811.33–4.98safer0.98–3.420.00–2.040.85–5.46
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.313.409.71safe4.45–8.171.65–5.146.10–13.31safer3.96–8.661.19–5.605.15–14.27
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3010.4727.77safe13.37–21.226.90–14.0320.28–35.25safer12.28–22.325.94–14.9918.23–37.30
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.426.1817.59safe8.47–14.363.50–8.8611.97–23.22safer7.64–15.192.76–9.6010.40–24.78
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.552.897.43safe2.67–6.431.23–4.543.90–10.97safer2.12–6.970.74–5.032.86–12.00
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.613.369.97safe4.40–8.821.36–5.365.76–14.19safer3.82–9.400.83–5.904.65–15.29
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction55.1245.93safe48.33–61.9139.14–52.71safer46.66–63.5837.47–54.39
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction489405894safe421–556339–472760–1028safer403–574321–489725–1063
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction74.4672.13safe70.43–78.4967.80–76.45safer69.14–79.7866.49–77.76
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8812.0424.93safe10.05–15.729.10–14.9919.14–30.71safer9.29–16.488.35–15.7417.64–32.21
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.403.06safe0.50–2.820.30–2.490.80–5.31safer0.20–3.120.02–2.780.21–5.90
Yellow cards
27%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.364.01safe0.60–2.701.23–3.491.83–6.19safer0.34–2.970.94–3.781.27–6.75
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.886.30safe0.98–3.852.32–5.443.30–9.29safer0.59–4.241.90–5.862.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.20 1.23–3.17 0.98–3.42 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 3.16 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.31 4.45–8.17 3.96–8.66 | 3.40 1.65–5.14 1.19–5.60 | 9.71 6.10–13.31 5.15–14.27 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 17.30 13.37–21.22 12.28–22.32 | 10.47 6.90–14.03 5.94–14.99 | 27.77 20.28–35.25 18.23–37.30 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.42 8.47–14.36 7.64–15.19 | 6.18 3.50–8.86 2.76–9.60 | 17.59 11.97–23.22 10.40–24.78 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.67–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 2.89 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 6.61 4.40–8.82 3.82–9.40 | 3.36 1.36–5.36 0.83–5.90 | 9.97 5.76–14.19 4.65–15.29 | 81% |
| Possession % | 55.12 48.33–61.91 46.66–63.58 | 45.93 39.14–52.71 37.47–54.39 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 489 421–556 403–574 | 405 339–472 321–489 | 894 760–1028 725–1063 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.46 70.43–78.49 69.14–79.78 | 72.13 67.80–76.45 66.49–77.76 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 12.88 10.05–15.72 9.29–16.48 | 12.04 9.10–14.99 8.35–15.74 | 24.93 19.14–30.71 17.64–32.21 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.06 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 2.36 1.23–3.49 0.94–3.78 | 4.01 1.83–6.19 1.27–6.75 | 27% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.88 2.32–5.44 1.90–5.86 | 6.30 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.