Liga I·Regular Season - 17·
Liga I·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
20%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.143.27safe1.16–3.100.28–1.991.44–5.09safer0.91–3.350.05–2.220.97–5.57
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.779.72safe4.08–7.812.03–5.526.12–13.33safer3.59–8.301.57–5.985.16–14.28
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2510.0626.31safe12.33–20.176.49–13.6218.82–33.79safer11.23–21.275.53–14.5816.77–35.84
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.336.0117.34safe8.39–14.283.33–8.6911.72–22.97safer7.56–15.102.59–9.4310.15–24.53
Blocked shots
64%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.162.706.86safe2.28–6.041.05–4.353.32–10.39safer1.73–6.580.55–4.842.29–11.43
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.669.90safe4.03–8.451.66–5.665.68–14.11safer3.45–9.031.12–6.194.58–15.22
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.1848.71safe44.39–57.9741.93–55.50safer42.72–59.6440.26–57.17
Passes
58%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction456430886safe389–523364–497753–1020safer371–542346–514717–1056
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction73.2773.60safe69.24–77.3069.27–77.92safer67.95–78.5967.96–79.23
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8910.7922.69safe9.06–14.737.85–13.7416.90–28.47safer8.30–15.497.10–14.4815.40–29.97
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.914.00safe0.93–3.250.82–3.011.75–6.25safer0.63–3.550.53–3.291.16–6.84
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.253.84safe0.54–2.641.12–3.371.66–6.02safer0.28–2.910.83–3.671.10–6.58
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
25%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.556.00safe1.01–3.891.99–5.113.01–8.99safer0.63–4.271.57–5.532.20–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 3.27 1.44–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 60% 20% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.08–7.81 3.59–8.30 | 3.77 2.03–5.52 1.57–5.98 | 9.72 6.12–13.33 5.16–14.28 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.25 12.33–20.17 11.23–21.27 | 10.06 6.49–13.62 5.53–14.58 | 26.31 18.82–33.79 16.77–35.84 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.33 8.39–14.28 7.56–15.10 | 6.01 3.33–8.69 2.59–9.43 | 17.34 11.72–22.97 10.15–24.53 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 2.70 1.05–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 6.86 3.32–10.39 2.29–11.43 | 64% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.03–8.45 3.45–9.03 | 3.66 1.66–5.66 1.12–6.19 | 9.90 5.68–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 51.18 44.39–57.97 42.72–59.64 | 48.71 41.93–55.50 40.26–57.17 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 456 389–523 371–542 | 430 364–497 346–514 | 886 753–1020 717–1056 | 58% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.27 69.24–77.30 67.95–78.59 | 73.60 69.27–77.92 67.96–79.23 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.89 9.06–14.73 8.30–15.49 | 10.79 7.85–13.74 7.10–14.48 | 22.69 16.90–28.47 15.40–29.97 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.55 | 1.91 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.29 | 4.00 1.75–6.25 1.16–6.84 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 2.25 1.12–3.37 0.83–3.67 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.10–6.58 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.01–3.89 0.63–4.27 | 3.55 1.99–5.11 1.57–5.53 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.20–9.80 | 25% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+