Liga I·Regular Season - 18·
Liga I·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.132.55safe0.45–2.390.28–1.980.73–4.37safer0.20–2.640.05–2.210.25–4.85
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.684.208.88safe2.82–6.542.46–5.955.28–12.49safer2.33–7.032.00–6.414.32–13.44
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8613.2427.10safe9.94–17.799.68–16.8019.61–34.59safer8.85–18.888.72–17.7617.56–36.64
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.118.3317.45safe6.17–12.065.65–11.0211.83–23.07safer5.34–12.894.92–11.7510.26–24.64
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.937.78safe1.96–5.732.28–5.584.24–11.31safer1.42–6.271.79–6.083.20–12.35
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.619.67safe2.85–7.282.61–6.615.46–13.89safer2.28–7.862.07–7.144.35–14.99
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction47.3553.19safe40.56–54.1446.41–59.98safer38.89–55.8144.73–61.65
Passes
38%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction410445855safe343–477379–512721–989safer324–495361–529686–1024
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction65.9473.06safe61.91–69.9768.73–77.38safer60.62–71.2767.42–78.69
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0212.0423.07safe8.19–13.869.10–14.9917.28–28.85safer7.43–14.628.35–15.7415.78–30.35
Offsides
35%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.462.82safe0.21–2.530.36–2.550.57–5.08safer0.00–2.830.07–2.840.00–5.66
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.933.94safe0.96–3.050.80–3.061.76–6.11safer0.69–3.320.51–3.351.20–6.67
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.095.97safe1.44–4.311.54–4.652.98–8.96safer1.05–4.701.11–5.072.17–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.13 0.28–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.82–6.54 2.33–7.03 | 4.20 2.46–5.95 2.00–6.41 | 8.88 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.44 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.86 9.94–17.79 8.85–18.88 | 13.24 9.68–16.80 8.72–17.76 | 27.10 19.61–34.59 17.56–36.64 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.11 6.17–12.06 5.34–12.89 | 8.33 5.65–11.02 4.92–11.75 | 17.45 11.83–23.07 10.26–24.64 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.73 1.42–6.27 | 3.93 2.28–5.58 1.79–6.08 | 7.78 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.35 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.85–7.28 2.28–7.86 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.07–7.14 | 9.67 5.46–13.89 4.35–14.99 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 47.35 40.56–54.14 38.89–55.81 | 53.19 46.41–59.98 44.73–61.65 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 410 343–477 324–495 | 445 379–512 361–529 | 855 721–989 686–1024 | 38% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.94 61.91–69.97 60.62–71.27 | 73.06 68.73–77.38 67.42–78.69 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 11.02 8.19–13.86 7.43–14.62 | 12.04 9.10–14.99 8.35–15.74 | 23.07 17.28–28.85 15.78–30.35 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.84 | 2.82 0.57–5.08 0.00–5.66 | 35% 25% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.94 1.76–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 3.09 1.54–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.77 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.